Management right value assessment system for tourist attraction

Abstract

The invention provides a management right value assessment system for a tourist attraction. The system comprises a desired net income assessment module, a capitalization rate assessment module, a desired income value assessment module, an investment option value assessment module and a scenic spot management right value assessment module. The desired net income assessment module is used for carrying out ergodic optimization on all parameters of an ARIMA model to obtain scenic spot net income predicted values in all periods in the future; the capitalization rate assessment module obtains a scenic spot capitalization rate through a capital asset pricing model and a weighted average capital cost model; the desired income value assessment module obtains scenic spot management right desired income value through an income reduction model according to the scenic spot net income predicted value and the scenic spot capitalization rate in all periods within at least 10 years in the future; the investment option value assessment module obtains a scenic spot investment option value through a real option model according to the scenic spot net income predicted value and the scenic spot capitalization rate; the scenic spot management right value assessment module is used for adding the scenic spot management right desired income value to the scenic spot investment option value to obtain tourist attraction management right value. According to the system, the managerial right transfer efficiency of the tourist attraction is improved, and the system has the important practical application value.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the application field of computer software, and more specifically, relates to a value evaluation system for the management right of a tourist attraction. Background technique [0002] Scenic spots are the foundation and core elements of tourism development, and play a very important role in the development of tourism, while the property rights of scenic spots have a direct impact on the operation and management of tourist attractions. In the process of the circulation of the management rights of tourist attractions, the value evaluation of the management rights of tourist attractions has become a key issue in realizing the reasonable circulation of the management rights of tourist attractions in my country. [0003] At present, the income method is more suitable for the evaluation of the value of the management rights of tourist attractions in my country. The specific evaluation methods include: discounted cash flow method, inc...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, in the actual application process, this method still has the following defects: 1. There is a certain degree of subjectivity in determining the discount rate of future cash flow; 2. It is not possible to invest in the flexibility or flexibility of scenic spot developers in terms of operation and management for scenic spots. 3. It cannot reflect the linkage relationship between the recreational value of tourism resources in scenic spots and the value of management rights; the above-mentioned defects make the evaluation results easy to underestimate or overestimate the value of the management rights of tourist attractions, and the specific calculation indicators Differences in values ​​may also easily lead to large differences in the calculation results of both parties to the transfer, causing unnecessary legal or financial disputes

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