Passenger flow forecasting method for combined transportation of integrated passenger transport hubs

Abstract

The invention discloses a passenger flow prediction method for integrated passenger transport hub intermodal transport, comprising the following steps: first, dividing the integrated passenger transport hub transport mode; second, dividing the integrated passenger transport hub transport mode; 2, predicting the passenger flow of the main body of the passenger transport; 3, predicting the transferproportion of the connecting traffic; 4, predicting the passenger flow of the connecting traffic; 5, predicting the traffic transfer quantity of the combined transport: according to the arrival-departure conservation principle, the traffic transfer proportion distribution table of the combined transport is obtained through matrix calculation, and the traffic transfer quantity of each combined transport is calculated by multiplying the daily average passenger transfer quantity of each transportation mode by the transfer proportion distribution table. The method standardizes the passenger flow forecasting method of integrated passenger transport hub and fills in the blank of the industry; performs quantitative data analysis, standardized prediction process, avoids the interference of subjective factors, improves design efficiency, shortens the design cycle; conforms to the regional socio-economic and transportation development law, improves the applicability and accuracy of the design results.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of civil engineering, and in particular relates to a method for predicting passenger flow of intermodal traffic in a comprehensive passenger transport hub. Background technique [0002] The comprehensive passenger transport hub is an important link in the modern comprehensive transportation system. In the future, in the important comprehensive transport hub cities across the country, a number of modern, three-dimensional comprehensive passenger transport hubs will be built with large high-speed rail stations as the mainstay and airports as the mainstay. The planning, design and construction of the comprehensive passenger transportation hub are directly related to whether the nodes and networks in the comprehensive transportation system are coordinated, whether various transportation modes can be connected and coordinated, and whether the functions can be fully exerted, and whether the residents' travel is smooth and co...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, the traditional hub passenger flow forecast is based on expert consultation and analogy design methods, and the prediction conclusions are not targeted, broad, and accurate. Therefore, how to effectively and accurately predict the combined passenger flow of the comprehensive passenger transport hub to be built, It is the key to the design of integrated passenger transport hub intermodal project

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