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Data prediction method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium

A prediction method and data technology, applied in computer parts, computer-aided medical procedures, prediction, etc., can solve problems such as insufficient model prediction effect, difficulty in reflecting population heterogeneity, inability to intervene in action simulation and analysis, etc. The effect of improving accuracy

Pending Publication Date: 2022-02-18
YIDU CLOUD (BEIJING) TECH CO LTD
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Problems solved by technology

However, because the model of infectious disease dynamics is too macroscopic, the method of replacing the sum of individual effects with the average effect simplifies the real scene, and it is difficult to reflect the heterogeneity of the population in the real scene under the coarse-grained description. nature, and it is impossible to closely simulate and analyze specific intervention actions, resulting in insufficient prediction effect of the model

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  • Data prediction method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium
  • Data prediction method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium
  • Data prediction method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium

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Embodiment Construction

[0069] In order to enable ordinary persons in the art to better understand the technical solutions of the present disclosure, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present disclosure will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0070] It should be noted that the terms "first" and "second" in the specification and claims of the present disclosure and the above drawings are used to distinguish similar objects, but not necessarily used to describe a specific sequence or sequence. It is to be understood that the data so used are interchangeable under appropriate circumstances such that the embodiments of the disclosure described herein can be practiced in sequences other than those illustrated or described herein.

[0071] The following example embodiments may be embodied in many forms and should not be construed as limited to the examples set forth herein; rather, these embodiments are provided so that this disclosure ...

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Abstract

The invention relates to an infectious disease transmission data prediction method and device, electronic equipment and a computer readable medium, and belongs to the technical field of artificial intelligence. The method comprises the following steps of: constructing an underlying individual contact model according to social population data and a plurality of preset contact scenes; obtaining an individual transmission model and a commuting network transmission model, and setting related infectious disease propagation parameters and infectious disease intervention parameters; determining the state transition probability of the individual in each preset time period according to the state transition result of the individual in the underlying individual contact model in the commuting network transmission model and based on the individual transmission model, the infectious disease propagation parameters and the infectious disease intervention parameters; and obtaining a predicted value of the infectious disease transmission data according to the state transition probability of the individual in each preset time period. According to the method, microscopic modeling simulation is carried out on the infectious disease transmission process, so that the infectious disease transmission rule can be known more scientifically, and the accuracy of infectious disease transmission data prediction is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The present disclosure relates to the technical field of artificial intelligence, and in particular, to a method for predicting infectious disease transmission data, a device for predicting infectious disease transmission data, electronic equipment, and a computer-readable medium. Background technique [0002] Simulation and modeling refers to a system model that can describe or simulate the structure or behavior of the thing after digitalization based on the physical laws abstracted from things in the real world, and is used for virtual testing and early verification of the real world. Thereby reducing the cost of direct testing. By combining scientific literature and real data, simulation and modeling techniques are playing an increasingly important role in the field of epidemiology. [0003] At present, the simulation and modeling of the spread of infectious diseases mostly use the dynamics of infectious diseases, and use a set of difference equati...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80G16H50/50G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06K9/62G06N20/00
CPCG16H50/80G16H50/50G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N20/00G06F18/25G06F18/214
Inventor 梁世浩焦增涛陈霈钰郭旭东范文慧闫俊
Owner YIDU CLOUD (BEIJING) TECH CO LTD
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