The invention discloses a terminal airspace air
traffic delay prediction method under short-time weather influence. According to the method, firstly, on the basis of classifying the
precipitation grades, cloud clusters with different
precipitation grades are subjected to contour extraction through a
radar echo PPI (plane position indication) and RHI (range height indication) image recognition method; secondly, the
traffic flow information of the corresponding time is matched with the space range of the
precipitation cloud clusters; a three-dimensional WITI (weather influence traffic index) model under the condition of different precipitation grades is built; and finally, by combining the practical control rule, the WITI index, the control interval regulation and the
delay time under the detour condition are subjected to index
regression analysis to obtain a short-time
delay time prediction model. By using the method,
radar echo images are matched with terminal airspace structures; the influence degree of
severe weather on the approach flight segment is judged; according to a detour path, the control allocation of the horizontal interval and the vertical interval is implemented; and the basis is provided for determining the air
traffic delay level under the short-time weather influence in a terminal region.