Load prediction method and device based on regional architecture properties

Abstract

The invention discloses a load prediction method based on regional architecture properties. The load prediction method comprises the steps of: partitioning a target region; acquiring power planning predictive indexes of each subregion, wherein the power planning predictive indexes comprise architecture types, areas of architectures of all types, power consumption load intensity indexes of the architectures of all types and load coincidence factors; determining a subregion distant view saturated load predicted value of each subregion according to the power planning predictive indexes; and determining a total distant view saturated load predicted value of the target region according to the subregion distant view saturated load predicted values. The load prediction method and the load prediction device based on the regional architecture properties relate to the technical field of power systems, are used for partitioning the target region, calculating the subregion distant view saturated load predicted values according to the architecture types, areas of the architectures of all types, the power consumption load intensity indexes of the architectures of all types and the load coincidence factors, and determining the total distant view saturated load predicted value of the target region according to the subregion distant view saturated load predicted values. Compared with the priorart, the load prediction method and the load prediction device have higher load prediction precision for the target region.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of power systems, in particular to a load forecasting method and device based on regional building properties. Background technique [0002] Floor area ratio: the ratio of the total construction area within the scope of the project land to the total land area of ​​the project. [0003] The simultaneous rate is the ratio of the comprehensive maximum load of the power system to the sum of the absolute maximum loads of each component unit of the power system. [0004] Power system load forecasting is based on the historical data of power load, economy, society, meteorology, etc., to explore the impact of power load historical data changes on future loads, and to seek the internal relationship between power load and various related factors, so as to predict the future. Scientific prediction of power load. [0005] At present, the load density method is mostly used to determine the regional planning power load....

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

In the prior art, according to the functional zoning of land planning, the probability of using different land types is calculated, and the product of the probability of each land type and the load density of the land type is added to obtain the load density of the planned functional zoning, and The load density of the planned functional zoning is multiplied by the land area of ​​the planned functional zoning to obtain the load forecast results of the planned functional zoning, and the probability of different land types is variable, and the load density of each land use type is also variable, and the two are multiplied may cause large error

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