The invention discloses a forest
fire risk assessment method based on a composite
chain type disaster evolution mechanism, and relates to the field of forest
fire risk assessment, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the
chain type feature field construction of multi-source heterogeneous data through the collection of the multi-source heterogeneous data, including
remote sensing data, meteorological data, geographic
information data and disaster loss data, obtaining a disaster chain core driving factor
tensor, and carrying out the feature field construction of the multi-source heterogeneous data; performing composite disaster chain
coupling analysis based on the disaster chain core driving factor
tensor to obtain a disaster chain space-time
cascade trajectory, performing dynamic
risk assessment and grading based on the disaster chain space-time
cascade trajectory to obtain a five-level
risk zoning map, and performing intelligent early warning analysis based on the five-level
risk zoning map to obtain a forest fire dynamic early warning map. According to the method, the
chain type driving relation among drought, high temperature,
vegetation dryness and fire danger is synthesized, the dynamic threshold value is adopted for risk grading, the dynamic influence of climatic variation and
vegetation phenology on the fire danger can be captured, and the accuracy of forest
fire risk assessment is improved.