The invention provides a
power grid equipment large-range progressive real-time
flood forecasting method based on a three-water-source Xinanjiang model, which abandons a basin homogenization
hypothesis of a traditional lumped model, divides a target basin into subunits with spatial uniqueness and topological
connectivity through a Thiessen polygon method, and accurately matches underlying surface spatial differentiation features; according to the method, the limitation of
single parameter calibration is broken through, an NSGA-I I multi-objective optimization
algorithm is adopted to be combined with historical flood data, a parameter
optimization system containing multiple indexes such as a flood peak flow error and a peak present
time error is constructed, a
Pareto optimal solution set is generated, a parameter
knowledge base is constructed in a classified mode, and the problem of poor parameter adaptability is solved; a geographically weighted regression method is used for fusing
satellite remote sensing, ground rainfall
station and hydrometric
station data, a dynamic correction mechanism is established, model input is updated every 30 minutes, and the
rainfall runoff calculation temporal-spatial resolution is remarkably improved; after
subunit outlet flow riverway convergence calculation is completed based on a Muskingum method,
power grid equipment space distribution and
vulnerability threshold values are innovatively associated.