The present application relates to the technical field of photovoltaic power prediction, and provides a distributed photovoltaic power prediction method and
system fusing dynamic regions and space-time. The method comprises the following steps: according to historical power data and corresponding key meteorological characteristics representing power stations, a
time model is used to extract
time series trend characteristics, and preliminary time prediction values and time prediction errors of sub-regions of the power stations are obtained; the power stations are taken as nodes to construct a graph structure, and a
space model is used to extract space correlation characteristics therein, and preliminary space prediction values and space prediction errors of the sub-regions of the power stations are obtained; the contribution degrees of the
time model and the
space model are dynamically adjusted by using an information entropy method, and combined prediction powers of the sub-regions of the power stations are obtained;
data quality evaluation scores of the sub-regions of the power stations are determined, a scale-up weight is obtained through a proportion of the
data quality evaluation scores, and the combined prediction powers of the sub-regions of the power stations are weighted and summed, and a total power of a region is predicted, so that the super-short-term prediction accuracy and robustness are effectively improved.