The invention relates to the technical field of abnormal
state prediction, provides a multi-dimensional
time sequence equipment abnormal
state prediction method and
system, and solves the problems of high
false alarm rate and risk prediction inaccuracy in the prior art. The method comprises the following steps: collecting a multi-node operation state
data set and communication transmission layer
time sequence offset information of an equipment distributed
system;
jitter and
delay association
processing is carried out on the data, and a communication stability
feature set is generated by quantizing space-
time correlation of a
jitter extreme value and
delay fluctuation; obtaining
physical layer deformation and temperature drift data of the communication cable, analyzing and generating a
physical layer disturbance feature sequence based on optical
signal feature offset, and converting the
physical layer disturbance feature sequence into channel abnormal strength features; and cross-level feature
coupling is carried out on the communication stability feature and the channel abnormal strength feature, and a communication node failure or
data transmission abnormal risk is predicted based on a
coupling result. According to the invention,
millisecond-level linkage prediction of equipment-level physical disturbance and
system-level communication risks is realized, the fault
false alarm rate is reduced, and the
cascade failure risk is blocked.