Prediction and forcasting method of occurrence of Pammene ginkgoicola Liu, and application thereof
A technology of ultra-small leaf rollers and ultra-small rolls, which is applied in horticultural methods, botanical equipment and methods, applications, etc., can solve the problems of weak phototaxis of adults, inability to predict the range and amount of occurrence, and unsuitable forecasting and forecasting. Professional facilities, direct and accurate prediction of occurrence time, and good economic benefits
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Embodiment 1
[0027] 1. Select standard ground and standard plant: According to the different areas where ginkgo trees grow, standard ground is established according to 3%-5% of the total area. The standard ground selected in a certain area should be representative in this area, and the standard ground will bear fruit. There are no less than 100 trees, and the standard plants are selected according to the proportion of about 5-10% in the standard land, and the serial numbers (1.2.3.4...) are marked according to the number of selected plants, and observation, investigation and statistics are carried out.
[0028] Selection criteria: (1) In a certain administrative area where ginkgo trees grow, it is necessary to take into account the east, west, north and south. (2) Considering the occurrence degree of Ginkgo biloba super small leaf roller in previous years, avoiding the fragile ecological environment of individual and the occurrence of particularly serious "insect source areas", the degree o...
Embodiment 2
[0054] In 2011, there were 300 mu of fruit-bearing ginkgo trees in Guxi Village, Taixing, Jiangsu Province, 10 mu (100 trees) of standard land were selected according to 3%~5%, 10 standard trees were selected according to regulations, and the total surface area of the 10 trees in the observation area was 11.7m 2 . The statistical table of pupa shells day by day is as follows:
[0055] Table 3 Statistics on the number of pupal shells after the emergence of Ginkgo biloba super small leaf curler in 2011
[0056]
[0057] 1. Prediction:
[0058] 1) Occurrence period:
[0059] From the above table, the cumulative number of pupa shells accounted for 16.0% of the total number of pupa shells on April 3, the closest to 15%, which was the peak of emergence; 50%, which is the peak period of eclosion; on April 11, the cumulative number of pupal shells accounted for 87.3% of the total number of pupa shells, the closest to 85%, which was the peak of eclosion.
[0060] On April 8, 2...
Embodiment 3
[0068] In 2012, the ginkgo trees in front of the house and behind the house in Huangqiao Qianjin Village, Taixing, Jiangsu Province, adopted the "W" (front-house-back-house-front-back) sampling method to select 10 standard plants, and the 10 standard plants were observed in the area of the tree surface area. and S 总 9.3m 2 ; Statistics of chrysalis shell by plant day by day: the first chrysalis shell was found on March 28, the last chrysalis shell was found on April 18, and the total number of chrysalis in the observation area of the standard plant trunk epidermis was accumulated Y 总 198, April 5 y 累 / Y 总 =15.6%, closest to 15%; April 10 Y 累 / Y 总 =53.0%, closest to 50%; April 13 Y 累 / Y 总 =84.1%, the closest to 85%.
[0069] 1. Prediction:
[0070] 1) Occurrence period:
[0071] April 5th is the peak period of adult emergence, April 10th is the peak period of adult emergence, and April 13th is the peak period of adult emergence; April 10th, 2012, the average daily ...
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