Prediction and forcasting method of occurrence of Pammene ginkgoicola Liu, and application thereof
A technology of ultra-small leaf rollers and ultra-small rolls, which is applied in horticultural methods, botanical equipment and methods, applications, etc., and can solve problems such as inappropriate forecasting, inability to predict the range and amount of occurrence, weak phototaxis of adults, etc., and achieve prediction The effect of direct and accurate occurrence time, good economic benefits, and no need for professional facilities
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Embodiment 1
[0027] 1. Select standard plots and standard plants: According to different areas where ginkgo trees grow, set up standard plots based on 3%-5% of the total area. The standard plots selected in a certain area must be representative in this area, and the standard plots should bear fruit There are no less than 100 trees, and the standard trees are selected at a rate of about 5-10% in the standard land, and the serial numbers (1.2.3.4...) are marked according to the number of selected trees for observation and investigation.
[0028] Selection criteria: ⑴In a certain administrative area where ginkgo trees grow, both east, west, north, and south should be considered. ⑵ Combined with the occurrence degree of Ginkgo super small leaf tortrix in previous years, to avoid individual "insect sources" where the ecological environment is fragile and the occurrence is particularly serious, and the occurrence degree of light, medium and severe should be considered. (3) Different sites and st...
Embodiment 2
[0054] In 2011, there were 300 mu of fruit-bearing ginkgo trees in Guzhuang, Taixing, Jiangsu, and 10 mu (100 plants) of standard land were selected according to 3%~5%, and 10 standard plants were selected according to regulations, and the total surface area of the trees in the observation area of 10 plants was 11.7m 2 . The daily statistical table of pupal shells by plant is as follows:
[0055] Table 3 Statistics on the number of pupal shells after emergence of Ginkgo super small leaf tortrix in 2011
[0056]
[0057] 1. Forecast and forecast:
[0058] 1) Occurrence period:
[0059] From the table above, the cumulative number of pupal shells on April 3rd accounted for 16.0% of the total number of pupal shells, the closest to 15%. 50% is the peak period of eclosion; on April 11, the cumulative number of pupae shells accounted for 87.3% of the total number of pupae shells, the closest to 85%, which is the end of eclosion peak.
[0060] On April 8, 2011, the 14-day a...
Embodiment 3
[0068] In 2012, the ginkgo trees in the front and back of the house in Jinjin Village, Huangqiao, Taixing, Jiangsu Province, adopted the "W" (front of the house-back of the house-front of the house-back of the house) sampling method to extract 10 standard plants, and the tree surface area of the 10 standard plants was observed. and S 总 9.3m 2 ; Day by day plant pupal shell statistics: find the first pupal shell on March 28, find the last pupal shell on April 18, standard plant trunk epidermis observation area accumulative pupal shell total number Y in the standard ground 总 for 198, April 5 Y 累 / Y 总 =15.6%, closest to 15%; April 10 Y 累 / Y 总 =53.0%, closest to 50%; April 13 Y 累 / Y 总 =84.1%, closest to 85%.
[0069] 1. Forecast and forecast:
[0070] 1) Occurrence period:
[0071] April 5th is the beginning of adult eclosion, April 10th is the peak of adult eclosion, and April 13th is the end of adult eclosion; the average daily temperature for 14 days after the peak o...
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