The invention discloses a multi-oligopoly
electricity selling market characteristic evaluation method based on a conditional risk value, which abstracts an
electricity selling market into a complex
adaptive system formed by a multi-oligopoly
electricity selling company, three types of power consumers and other main bodies, and establishes a
simulation mathematical model to carry out qualitative and quantitative analysis on the overall operation rule of the electricity selling market. The method comprises the following steps: (1) establishing a multi-oligopoly electricity selling
market model architecture; (2) establishing an electricity selling company
risk model, an income model and an integrated electricity
purchasing and selling income risk optimization comprehensive model; and (3) giving a model solving process and carrying out
simulation verification on an electricity selling market overall characteristic evaluation method through four examples. According to the method, complex game relationships between electricity selling companies and between the electricity selling companies and power consumers are described according to a multi-agent technology, the operation rule of themulti-oligopoly electricity selling market is disclosed, decision reference can be provided for market organization and management parties, and
scientific development of the electricity selling marketis promoted.