Affair decision-making library establishment method and corresponding affair decision-making method and system

Abstract

The invention relates to a decision making technique for the events, in order to solve the problem of decision-making simply and rapidly under the condition of a large amount of knowledge. The invention, for each event, can group each condition and become one group for the condition with identical prior probability and identical ' and , or ' relation to form one condition group, the corresponding relation table can be established according to the mapping relation between events, conditions and condition group, then the knowledge base for decision making is established based on the information in the relation table. A decision making application system for the events, which includes a server providing with the knowledge base and a computer connected with the server, can be established based on the knowledge base; the computer may receive one or more conditions inputted by user, the server, for every condition received, can carry out special ergodic process in the knowledge base, and look up out all condition groups with the condition, and the relative decision probability for one or more events can be figured out based on the information such as maximum probability or value of condition group, the satisfied condition number.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a computer decision-making method, more specifically, to a method for building an event decision-making knowledge base and a corresponding event decision-making method and system. Background technique [0002] Peter Drucker, the father of modern management, believed that decision-making is a judgment, a choice between various feasible options, but it is rarely a choice between right and wrong, but mainly a choice between "almost right" and 'May be wrong'. This type of decision cannot be based on precise numerical calculations, but can only be based on various factors that constitute the event to make relatively accurate judgments. Therefore, it is not only feasible to use computers to assist this kind of decision-making, but also has greater credibility. [0003] Computer decision-making belongs to the category of artificial intelligence. Artificial intelligence has gone through the process from "game strategy" to "expert sys...

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Problems solved by technology

Since the hypertext link is a relatively free mode, it is not suitable for fields such as medical knowledge bases with strict requirements; if the hypertext link is strictly limited to obtain medical norms, it may bring great harm to the modification of the knowledge base. trouble

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