Wavelet transform and particle swarm optimized grey model-based short-term wind speed forecasting method
A technology of wind speed prediction and wavelet transform, which is applied in calculation models, biological models, fluid speed measurement, etc., can solve the problem of inaccurate short-term wind speed prediction results
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[0156] In order to verify the effect of the present invention, a certain wind farm is taken as an example to illustrate the specific implementation process of an improved gray prediction system based on wavelet transform and particle swarm. The wind farm installed data measuring instruments, and the observation points recorded the data from mid-April to July 2009. Arrange the data in chronological order, and the selected training samples are the recorded data of the observation points at the first 1158 moments, which is about 4 days of wind speed data. The test sample is the recorded data of the subsequent 288 observation points. Use Matlab to program the constructed calculation example, and analyze the results, such as Figure 4 shown. For comparison, the conventional gray model GM and only parameter-optimized GMIPSO predictions were used as references.
[0157] The MAE (average absolute error) of GM is 0.4948, and its MAPE (average absolute percentage error) is 9.0012%; t...
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