A Neural Network Prediction Method for Power Generation of Photovoltaic Power Plant
A power generation and neural network technology, applied in the direction of electrical digital data processing, special data processing applications, instruments, etc., to achieve great economic and social benefits, reduce adverse effects, reduce spinning reserve capacity and operating costs
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[0024] Such as figure 1 shown, including steps,
[0025] 1) Establishment of prediction model
[0026] In the power generation prediction model, only the data of the day before the prediction day is used, 12 hours at night are removed, and the power generation per hour is used as an input variable, a total of 12 data, and the average power generation corresponding to each hour is obtained through calculation;
[0027] The photovoltaic array output power per unit area is P=nSI(1-0.005(t+25)), where n is the conversion efficiency; S is the array area; I is the solar radiation intensity; t is the atmospheric temperature;
[0028] 2) Design of prediction model
[0029] The BP neural network is used to design the photovoltaic array power generation prediction model. The BP neural network is a multi-layer forward network with one-way propagation. The output of the input layer node is equal to its input, and wij is the connection between the input layer and the hidden layer nodes. ...
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