A Classified Forecasting Method of Annual Maximum Load Based on Economic and Meteorological Factors
A technology of maximum load and meteorological factors, applied in special data processing applications, instruments, electrical digital data processing, etc., can solve the problems of not considering the influence of annual maximum load, large fluctuations, and low accuracy of annual maximum load prediction, etc., to achieve The effect of overcoming insufficient forecast samples and improving accuracy
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[0042] The present invention will be further illustrated below by specific examples.
[0043] A classification and prediction method of annual maximum load based on economic and meteorological factors, which decomposes the annual maximum load into annual base load and annual air-conditioning load, and then further decomposes the annual air-conditioning load into annual resident load according to the sensitivity of electricity consumers to temperature. Air-conditioning load and annual non-residential air-conditioning load, construct a classification forecast model:
[0044] S1. Obtain the annual base load data for each year from 2005 to 2011, the electricity consumption data of the whole society in April and the electricity consumption data of the whole society in May, and construct the annual base load forecast regression model:
[0045] The annual base load for each year from 2005 to 2011 can be obtained in one of the following ways:
[0046]S11. Obtain the maximum load in A...
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