Cigarette logistics distribution center information system based on combined prediction method
A technology that combines forecasting and information systems, applied in forecasting, logistics, instruments, etc., can solve the problems of industrial and commercial enterprises not forming effective connections, lack of scientific guidance in logistics work, and low full load rate of cigarette transport vehicles, so as to reduce commercial shortages. , The effect of simplifying the docking work and improving the resource reuse rate
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[0087] This embodiment takes Sichuan Tobacco Market as an example, and the system function structure of the present invention refers to Figure 14 .
[0088] 1. Research on time series demand forecasting of cigarettes based on combined forecasting method
[0089] 1.1 Cigarette Market Capacity and Demand Analysis in Sichuan Province
[0090] The premise of forecasting logistics demand is to accurately grasp the development status of the cigarette market. The present invention comprehensively analyzes the cigarette market and its influencing factors around the two levels of the macro environment and the cigarette market.
[0091] 1) The overall market capacity of cigarettes in Sichuan Province
[0092] The cigarette market capacity in Sichuan Province consists of three parts, namely:
[0093] ① Permanent population market capacity:
[0094] Smoking angle = population × smoking rate × average daily smoking amount × days of residence in the province
[0095] Definition of pe...
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