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Product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics

A technology of time series and forecasting methods, applied in forecasting, neural learning methods, biological neural network models, etc., can solve the problems of complex algorithms, limited advantages of dynamic data analysis, and inability to reflect the development trend of dynamic data.

Inactive Publication Date: 2013-09-18
ZHEJIANG UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] At present, there are many methods of order forecasting. Judging from the current research methods, most of them are based on data mining methods. These methods have limitations of complex algorithms in the production and application process, and lack of visual exploration of data before data prediction. At the same time, the advantages of applying to dynamic data analysis are not obvious, and cannot reflect the development trend of dynamic data

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  • Product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics
  • Product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics
  • Product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics

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Embodiment Construction

[0055] The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Apparently, the described embodiments are only some of the embodiments of the present invention, but not all of them. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

[0056] In order to accurately predict the product order quantity and meet the real-time requirements of the product order system, the embodiment of the present invention provides a time-series product order quantity prediction method, such as figure 1 shown, including:

[0057] Step 1. Obtain the statistical value of the order data of the enterprise at each time point according to the stored historical order data;

[0058] Now the production of most enterprises is based on ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics. The product order prediction method comprises obtaining statistics of order data of enterprises at every time point according to stored historical order data; selecting a prediction model according to the time series characteristics of the order data and determining a prediction output equation of the prediction model; enabling the statistics of the historical order data to be processed as a prediction input table according to the requirements of the prediction model and training a corresponding prediction network model; and utilizing the prediction input table of the prediction order quantity to calculate to obtain the prediction order quantity of orders according to the prediction model which is well-trained through prediction orders and the prediction output equation. The invention also provides the product order prediction device according to the product order prediction method. The product order prediction device mainly comprises a data acquisition module, a data preprocessing module, a time series modeling module and an order prediction module. The product order prediction method and device with the time series characteristics have the advantages of solving the nonlinear problem of product order prediction, meeting the requirements of system real-time performance and improving the prediction accuracy.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of enterprise production management, and in particular relates to a product order prediction method and device with time series characteristics. Background technique [0002] Order forecasting is one of the important contents of modern enterprise production management. The modern economy is a fierce market economy, and the needs of customers in the market tend to be individualized and diversified, which puts forward new requirements for the production and management models and management methods of enterprises. Therefore, the order model representing customer demand becomes the source and end point of enterprise management and supply chain management. The modern market has changed from a seller's market to a buyer's market. Therefore, whether to capture as many customers as possible becomes the key to the survival and competitiveness of enterprises. The key to grabbing customers lies in whether the products can meet...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06N3/08
Inventor 朱理刘智慧卢山王越张泉灵苏宏业
Owner ZHEJIANG UNIV
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