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Technical improvement project investment scale prediction method and system considering regional investment capability

A forecasting method and forecasting system technology, applied in the direction of resources, character and pattern recognition, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as shortages, excessive investment in technical transformation, etc.

Pending Publication Date: 2022-01-04
STATE GRID SICHUAN ECONOMIC RES INST
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method and system for predicting the investment scale of technical upgrading projects considering regional investment capacity, so as to solve the problem of excess or shortage of technological upgrading investment scale in the prior art

Method used

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  • Technical improvement project investment scale prediction method and system considering regional investment capability
  • Technical improvement project investment scale prediction method and system considering regional investment capability
  • Technical improvement project investment scale prediction method and system considering regional investment capability

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Embodiment

[0042] Such as figure 1 As shown, the investment scale prediction method of technical upgrading projects considering the regional investment capacity includes,

[0043] Step S10, obtaining the influencing factor indicators of the grid investment capability in the target area, and constructing the grid investment capability influencing factor indicator model according to the influencing factors;

[0044] Step S20, adopting a bivariate correlation analysis model to conduct correlation analysis on the index model of influencing factors of power grid investment capability, performing gray correlation clustering analysis on the influencing factor indicators, and selecting a plurality of indicators at the top of the impact ranking as representative indicators;

[0045] Step S30, constructing a power grid investment capacity calculation model according to representative indicators;

[0046] Step S40, constructing a prediction model of the investment scale of the technical upgrading ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a technical improvement project investment scale prediction method and system considering regional investment capability, and relates to the technical field of power grid investment planning, and the technical key points are that the method comprises the steps: obtaining the influence factor indexes of the power grid investment capability in a target region, and constructing a power grid investment capability influence factor index model according to the influence factors; carrying out correlation analysis on the power grid investment capacity influence factor index model by adopting a double-variable correlation analysis model, carrying out grey correlation clustering analysis on influence factor indexes, and selecting a plurality of indexes with influence ranks in the front as representative indexes; constructing a power grid investment capacity calculation model according to the representative indexes; and constructing a technical improvement project investment scale prediction model based on asset depreciation calculation. According to the method and system, the problem of excessive investment or shortage of a technical improvement project is avoided, and accurate investment of capital of a power grid enterprise is realized, so that the current complicated internal and external operation situation is dealt with, and the enterprise operation development goal is realized.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of power grid investment planning, more specifically, it relates to a method and system for predicting investment scale of technical transformation projects considering regional investment capacity. Background technique [0002] The power grid company is a natural asset-intensive and technology-intensive enterprise. The company has a large number and variety of physical assets of the power grid, and the investment management of technical transformation is relatively complicated. For asset-intensive enterprises, the performance of the enterprise is directly linked to the status and efficiency of the assets. The benefits of the power grid company mainly come from the stable and continuous operation of the equipment, and are closely related to the cost control of the equipment. In recent years, social demand for electricity has been increasing with economic development, and the investment scale of power grid en...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q40/06G06Q50/06G06K9/62
CPCG06Q10/06393G06Q40/06G06Q50/06G06F18/23
Inventor 焦杰杜英万明勇王超陈晋勇
Owner STATE GRID SICHUAN ECONOMIC RES INST
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