This invention provides a multi-model fusion method, device, electronic device, and
system for
debris flow early warning. The method includes: collecting geographical and geological data, real-time rainfall, runoff, and auxiliary
monitoring data; fusing a shallow flow numerical model, a moving
least squares machine learning model, and a generalized regression neural
network model, and obtaining a comprehensive runoff prediction through weighted
least squares calculation; constructing critical runoff indicators based on the safety requirements of disaster-bearing bodies such as roadbeds, retaining walls, and culverts, and inversely calculating critical rainfall thresholds, then making differentiated adjustments based on the average gradient of the gully; generating a
debris flow early warning report by comparing real-time predictions with thresholds, achieving final graded and zoned early warning for the warning area. This invention improves the accuracy and
engineering relevance of early warnings by integrating physical mechanisms and
data patterns, achieving refined early warning from "whether it will occur" to "when, where, and what the
impact will be," while reducing the error of a
single model and adapting to different terrains and disaster-bearing bodies along highways.