The invention relates to a
water quality change trend rapid prediction method based on multi-
source data fusion and physical constraint, and the method specifically comprises the following steps: 1, synchronously collecting spectral information, DO, COD, temperature, pH and other data at a key monitoring
station, constructing a hydrodynamic
water quality coupling equation, simulating the spatial-temporal dynamic distribution of
water quality parameters, and calculating the water quality change trend; 2, outputting a water quality sensitive area through a hydrodynamic force-water quality model, screening sensor
layout point positions in combination with information entropy evaluation and
spatial clustering, realizing low-cost water quality sensor
network deployment through a multi-objective optimization
algorithm, and calculating a
water body global water quality
distribution diagram by adopting a spatial interpolation method, 3, synchronously collecting spectral information according to key monitoring sites, analyzing main
pollution sources, and adopting a
principal component analysis and attention mechanism neural network; 4, based on real-time optical characteristic value-DO data, in combination with a spatial topology network, a water quality gradient and a cross-regional
covariance, capturing water quality parameter
spatial correlation among different sites, and determining the water quality parameter
spatial correlation among different sites; an optical characteristic value-DO-COD
dynamic prediction model is constructed; a COD predicted value is corrected by combining
pollution traceability and spectral characteristics, and multi-
source data is assimilated by adopting ensemble Kalman filtering, so that the model precision is improved.