The invention discloses a
typhoon disaster assessment method based on WRF adaptive nesting and
machine learning. The
typhoon disaster assessment method comprises the steps that typical
typhoon examples in a research area are selected, and weather, disaster loss and
exposure data in the typhoon period are collected and preprocessed; evaluating a plurality of candidate thresholds under the constraint of the existing typhoon disaster
wind speed threshold, and preferentially determining a disaster-causing threshold; constructing multi-layer WRF nesting to downscale a
wind field, recognizing an over-threshold region along a typhoon path according to a determined disaster-causing threshold, performing high-resolution
encryption solution in the over-threshold region, checking the over-threshold region, and obtaining the maximum
wind speed of the region; matching the over-threshold region with an
exposure data space to form an
exposure degree, taking the maximum
wind speed of the region and the exposure degree as input, and taking a historical
loss rate as output, so as to establish a
loss rate intelligent prediction model for
vulnerability quantification; and calculating the typhoon disaster risk by integrating the disaster intensity, the exposure degree and the
vulnerability. According to the invention, the accuracy of typhoon disaster
risk assessment can be effectively improved, and a reliable basis is provided for graded early warning and emergency
decision making.