The invention relates to the technical field of digital production systems, in particular to a
raw material inventory management method based on an MES
system, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining
raw material demands and production data during production based on the MES
system, and calculating the equipment
fault probability, the order
insertion probability, the supply chain
delay probability and the
environmental risk probability according to the production data; and obtaining a
raw material demand fluctuation coefficient according to the probability, and finally performing
inventory management according to the raw material demand and the fluctuation coefficient. According to the invention, by constructing the multi-dimensional risk prediction mode and adjusting the inventory, raw material demand transaction can be pre-judged in advance, the superimposed influence of emergency order
insertion and conventional production on raw
material consumption is effectively balanced, the supply guarantee rate is also considered, the scientificity and adaptability of
inventory management are significantly improved, and the method is suitable for large-scale popularization and application. Self-
adaptive optimization of the
inventory level in a complex production environment is realized, the method has double values of
cost control and supply chain
toughness improvement, and the problem of frequent occurrence of
stockout and overstock conditions in an existing inventory management method is solved.