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Method and system for estimating credibility of simulation system

A simulation system and reliability technology, applied in the field of computer simulation, can solve problems such as incomplete satisfaction, difficulty in ensuring the consistency of review results, and difficulty in quantitative analysis, so as to avoid major losses and reduce decision-making risks.

Inactive Publication Date: 2012-01-04
王钰
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  • Description
  • Claims
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

This method can effectively regulate the development process of the simulation system, and can fully use expert ideas, but this method cannot fully meet the requirements
Specifically, first of all, the existing methods emphasize the control of the whole process of research and development, based on complete process data, involving the entire process of requirements-design-development, covering all aspects of conceptual models, mathematical models, and software models, but many current simulation systems are due to There is a lack of relevant data for various reasons, and the existing methods are difficult to meet this situation
Secondly, the existing methods rely too much on expert experience, making it difficult to effectively support quantitative analysis. At the same time, since the review experts participating in different stages are often different, it is difficult to ensure the consistency of the review results, which directly affects the objectivity of the evaluation conclusions

Method used

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  • Method and system for estimating credibility of simulation system
  • Method and system for estimating credibility of simulation system
  • Method and system for estimating credibility of simulation system

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Embodiment Construction

[0021] The invention provides a method for evaluating the credibility of a large-scale simulation system. Such as figure 1 As shown, the method includes the following steps:

[0022] Step 1, determine the real case set {Case 1 , Case 2 ,...Case m};

[0023] Step 2, in the case set {Case 1 , Case 2 ,...Case m} Select a case Case i , specifying the corresponding real input (see Table 1) vs. real output { Case i _ Out 1 0 , Case i _ Out 2 0 , . . . Case i _ Out j 0 } (See Table 2);

[0024] Step 3, with the selected case Case i real input of As the simulation input of the target simulation system, run the target simulati...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method and a system for estimating the credibility of a simulation system. The method for estimating the credibility of the simulation system comprises the following steps of: 10, determining a real case set used for comparison estimation; 20, calculating the credibility of each case in the real case set; and 30, weighting the credibility of each case in the real case set, and thus obtaining the credibility of the simulation system. By the method, the credibility of a large-scale simulation system can be estimated, a policy risk based on simulation is effectively reduced, heavy loss probably caused by the credibility is avoided, and the development level of the simulation system is promoted.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of computer simulation, in particular to a method and system for evaluating the credibility of a simulation system. Background technique [0002] A large-scale simulation system is a complex simulation system composed of several subsystems, subordinate subsystems, and even sub-subsystems. Social simulation systems, economic simulation systems, and combat simulation systems all belong to this type of large-scale systems. With the construction and development of large-scale simulation systems, higher requirements are put forward for the reliability of simulation. In fact, simulations without sufficient credibility are meaningless, and may not only mislead users' decisions, but may even cause significant economic and life losses. Therefore, the reliability evaluation of large-scale simulation systems has become the focus of concern and research in the field of simulation. [0003] At present, in terms of the credibilit...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/00
Inventor 王钰许峰
Owner 王钰
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