Coal-to-electricity energy supply planning method based on community age trend analysis

Abstract

The present invention relates to a coal-to-electricity energy supply planning method based on community age trend analysis. The method comprises the steps of: the step 1, performing community population age composition analysis and prediction, performing subsection of the community population according to ages, women of childbearing age and dwelling states, and performing statistics of each stageof population proportion; the step 2, calculating cost and expense of coal-to-electricity energy supply schemes in different heating modes; and the step 3, minimizing the whole cost as an optimum condition to obtain an optimal program planning of coal-to-electricity energy supply in k years. The coal-to-electricity energy supply planning method based on the community age trend analysis performs analysis and trend prediction of community population age structures and energy usage habits of population with different ages to take satisfying heating demands of the community in many years as a premise to achieve economy of construction investment and operation maintenance and solve the problem that a coal-to-electricity energy supply scheme is difficult to accurate match community energy usagefeatures in the prior art, and therefore, a high coal-to-electricity heating scheme planning with high economy can be obtained.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of coal-to-electricity energy supply scheme planning, in particular to a coal-to-electricity energy supply planning method based on community age trend analysis. Background technique [0002] In recent years, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and its surrounding areas often experience smog and heavy pollution in autumn and winter, seriously affecting people's quality of life and threatening people's health. Relevant studies have shown that a large number of northern cities and rural areas use scattered coal for heating, causing pollutants to be discharged directly into the air without treatment, which is one of the important factors causing serious smog problems in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and surrounding areas. In order to solve related air pollution problems, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting Electric Energy Substitution", and the Ministry of Environmental Protection...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The existing coal-to-electricity program planning is mainly limited to the selection of electricity replacement technologies for the target area according to the heating area of ​​the houses, and then completes the power grid planning; there is a lack of analysis and prediction of the age composition of the target community population for the coal-to-electricity conversion, and failure to fully consider various Differences in Community Electric Heating Demands

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