Optimal ordering period prediction method for seasonal and periodic goods

A forecasting method and cyclical technology, applied in marketing and other directions, can solve problems such as low material turnover rate, no consideration of capital, and many constraints

Inactive Publication Date: 2015-08-05
NANJING UNIV
View PDF2 Cites 9 Cited by
  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The current fixed order batch model method has too many constraints, less consideration of the actual situation, and it is difficult to well reflect the dynamic, complex and changeable

Method used

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
View more

Image

Smart Image Click on the blue labels to locate them in the text.
Viewing Examples
Smart Image
  • Optimal ordering period prediction method for seasonal and periodic goods
  • Optimal ordering period prediction method for seasonal and periodic goods
  • Optimal ordering period prediction method for seasonal and periodic goods

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment Construction

[0034] Below in conjunction with specific embodiment, further illustrate the present invention, should be understood that these embodiments are only used to illustrate the present invention and are not intended to limit the scope of the present invention, after having read the present invention, those skilled in the art will understand various equivalent forms of the present invention All modifications fall within the scope defined by the appended claims of the present application.

[0035] Such as figure 1 As shown, predicting the optimal order cycle T * , including the following steps:

[0036] Example application:

[0037] (1) Obtain the historical sales volume data of commodities, sort them in chronological order, and construct time series data {Y t},as follows:

[0038] t

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Y t

439

567

765

986

1127

2343

4563

7632

6789

7489

t

10

11

12

...

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
Login to view more

PUM

No PUM Login to view more

Abstract

The invention discloses an optimal ordering period prediction method for seasonal and periodic goods, and the method is suitable for the goods which is periodic and is sensitive to seasons, wherein the sales volume of the goods increases at first and then decreases. The method comprises the steps: predicting the sales demands of the goods in the current period based on the history sales data of the goods; considering the ordering cost of the goods, the stock cost and the interest cost of a bank loan; and calculating the optimal ordering period of the goods through a quantitative method. Output results enable the decision facilitating the ordering period of the current goods of an enterprise to be made in advance, thereby providing accurate and scientific judgment for the decisions of the requirements for stock capacity, the stock cost control and the amount of bank load of the enterprise.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for predicting the optimal order cycle of seasonal and periodic commodities, which is suitable for commodities with periodic phenomena and sensitive to seasons, whose sales volume increases first and then decreases in the cycle, through optimal ordering of the commodities The forecast of the period is beneficial to the enterprise to make an advance decision on the order period of the commodity in the current period, and belongs to the field of information forecast technology. Background technique [0002] The development of market economy has intensified the competition among enterprises, and the competition among enterprises has changed from price competition to cost competition. As an important part of it, inventory cost plays an increasingly important role in enterprise competition. The current fixed order batch model method has too many constraints, less consideration of the actual situation, and it is difficult to...

Claims

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
Login to view more

Application Information

Patent Timeline
no application Login to view more
IPC IPC(8): G06Q30/02
Inventor 李敬泉刘云飞丁嘉孙浩哲陈中华
Owner NANJING UNIV
Who we serve
  • R&D Engineer
  • R&D Manager
  • IP Professional
Why Eureka
  • Industry Leading Data Capabilities
  • Powerful AI technology
  • Patent DNA Extraction
Social media
Try Eureka
PatSnap group products

Browse by: Latest US Patents, China's latest patents, Technical Efficacy Thesaurus, Application Domain, Technology Topic.

© 2024 PatSnap. All rights reserved.Legal|Privacy policy|Modern Slavery Act Transparency Statement|Sitemap