Electricity purchasing and selling business decision making and risk evaluation method for power selling company

Abstract

The invention discloses electricity purchasing and selling business decision making and risk evaluation method for a power selling company, and belongs to the technical field of electricity purchasingand selling electricity on markets. The method includes the steps of classifying and modeling the electricity purchasing and selling business of the electricity selling company under a long-term on-hand stock market mode to obtain a comprehensive electricity purchasing and selling business combination model, adopting a scene method to simulate random variables in the model, establishing a comprehensive decision making and risk assessment mixed integer optimization model by taking the expected income as the income index of the electricity selling company, and the condition risk profit as the evaluation indexes of the risk, analyzing the risk and the profit of the electricity selling company in different electricity purchasing and selling business combination modes. The method can be used to conveniently, fast and effectively analyzing the risk and the profit of an electricity selling company in different electricity purchasing and selling combined modes, and helps the electricity selling company conduct risk assessment and risk decision making. A power purchasing and selling decision making and risk assessment reference is provided for electricity selling companies of various electricity purchasing and selling business combination modes.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of electricity purchase and sale in the electric power market, and in particular relates to a decision-making and risk assessment method for electricity purchase and sale business of an electricity sale company. Background technique [0002] In order to break the monopoly of the power industry and establish a competitive power market, my country's power market has been gradually reformed to open up the electricity sales business to social capital, and the reform of the electricity sales side to cultivate competitors in the electricity sales side market through multiple channels has become one of the key tasks for promoting the reform of the power system in the near future. one. With the rapid development of new energy sources such as solar energy, wind energy, and distributed power, and the continuous enrichment of the power structure, the demand for electricity on the user side is increasingly diverse, and t...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, the existing patent research only considers the risk decision-making problem of electricity purchase and sale under a relatively single business model of electricity purchase and sale. Business combination, conduct risk assessment and decision-making for electricity purchase and sale, and consider the optimization and integration of multiple resources on a larger scale and time scale

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