Daily rolling matchmaking transaction auxiliary decision-making method and system based on psychological anticipated price

An auxiliary decision-making and price technology, applied in information technology support systems, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as poor returns, poor real-time performance, uncontrollable price fluctuation risks, etc., to improve decision-making efficiency and maximize economic benefits , the effect of avoiding the risk of invalid declaration

Pending Publication Date: 2022-01-11
西安峰频能源科技有限公司
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  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

In the long run, the current reporting method has problems such as strong dependence on human decision-making, low efficiency, poor real-time performance, poor returns caused by failure to make full use of trading opportunities, and uncontrollable risks caused by price fluctuations.

Method used

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  • Daily rolling matchmaking transaction auxiliary decision-making method and system based on psychological anticipated price
  • Daily rolling matchmaking transaction auxiliary decision-making method and system based on psychological anticipated price
  • Daily rolling matchmaking transaction auxiliary decision-making method and system based on psychological anticipated price

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specific Embodiment approach

[0036] It should be noted that the structures, proportions, sizes, etc. shown in this specification are only used to cooperate with the content disclosed in the specification for the understanding and reading of those familiar with this technology, and are not used to limit the conditions for the implementation of the present invention , any modification of structure, change of proportional relationship or adjustment of size shall still fall within the scope covered by the technical content disclosed in the present invention without affecting the effect and purpose of the present invention. .

[0037] At the same time, terms such as "upper", "lower", "left", "right", "middle" and "one" quoted in this specification are only for the convenience of description and are not used to limit this specification. The practicable scope of the invention and the change or adjustment of its relative relationship shall also be regarded as the practicable scope of the present invention without...

Embodiment 1

[0039] Such as figure 1 As shown, the daily rolling matching trading assistant decision-making method based on the psychologically expected price, the method includes:

[0040] Obtain the first historical data of market players on the power generation side;

[0041] Inputting the first historical data into a preset forecasting model, and processing to obtain clearing data before the forecast date on the execution day;

[0042] Obtain the second historical data of daily rolling matching transactions in the whole market;

[0043] For the second historical data, refer to the preset declaration strategies of other market entities, and process and obtain the psychologically expected price data of the current declaration period;

[0044] Using the clearing data before the forecast date of the execution date and the psychologically expected price data of the current declaration period, establish the income model of the main body of the power generation side market;

[0045] For th...

Embodiment 2

[0062] Preparation:

[0063] Statistics on the medium and long-term contracts held: when conducting daily rolling matching transactions, the medium and long-term contract electricity and corresponding contract revenues held by the main body of the power generation side (including inter-provincial transactions, intra-provincial unlisted transactions, intra-provincial contract transfer transactions, Monthly centralized bidding transactions, monthly rolling matching transactions, ten-day centralized bidding transactions, and ten-day rolling matching transactions) can be obtained through statistics.

[0064] Prediction of the day-ahead electricity price: The present invention predicts the day-ahead electricity price through a prediction model based on the historical day-ahead electricity price and load rate data of the market entities on the power generation side. The specific prediction model is an LSTM model based on the similar day method.

[0065] Forecast base electricity: Si...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a daily rolling matchmaking transaction auxiliary decision-making method and system based on a psychological anticipated price. A mathematical model about a daily rolling matchmaking transaction declaration price, declaration electric quantity, transaction probability and anticipated income is obtained through introducing a concept of the psychological anticipated price, and the model is solved through an intelligent optimization method, so that an optimal declaration strategy is obtained, a theoretical, systematic and real-time declaration scheme of a power generation side market subject is realized, strong dependence on human decision making is avoided, decision making efficiency is improved, a transaction opportunity is fully utilized to realize economic benefit maximization, and meanwhile, the risk of invalid declaration is avoided as much as possible.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of electric power market declaration and decision-making, and specifically relates to a method and system for auxiliary decision-making of daily rolling matching transactions based on psychologically expected prices. Background technique [0002] With the acceleration of the national electric power reform process, the domestic electric energy market is also being further improved. The electric energy market includes the medium and long-term electric energy market and the spot electric energy market. The medium and long-term electric energy transaction refers to market entities such as power generation companies, electricity sales companies, and electric power users that meet the access conditions, through bilateral negotiations, centralized bidding, listing and other markets. Multi-day electricity (electricity) transactions carried out for many years, years, months, within a month, etc. before (exclusive) the executio...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q40/04
CPCG06Q40/04Y04S10/50
Inventor 王云杉赵铁岩肖超康荣
Owner 西安峰频能源科技有限公司
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