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A Hard Disk Lifetime Prediction Method Based on Backpropagation Bayesian Deep Learning

A technology of life prediction and deep learning, which is applied in the direction of neural learning methods, prediction, and detection of faulty computer hardware, etc. It can solve problems such as the uncertainty of life prediction that cannot be quantified, and achieve quantitative uncertainty, high prediction accuracy, and precision high effect

Active Publication Date: 2022-02-11
XI AN JIAOTONG UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] In view of the deficiencies in the prior art, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a life prediction method based on backpropagation Bayesian deep learning, which solves the problem that the general deep learning life prediction method cannot quantify the uncertainty of life prediction The problem

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  • A Hard Disk Lifetime Prediction Method Based on Backpropagation Bayesian Deep Learning
  • A Hard Disk Lifetime Prediction Method Based on Backpropagation Bayesian Deep Learning
  • A Hard Disk Lifetime Prediction Method Based on Backpropagation Bayesian Deep Learning

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Embodiment Construction

[0043] In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the accompanying drawings used in the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the accompanying drawings in the following description are only some implementations of the present invention For example, those skilled in the art can also obtain other drawings based on these drawings without creative work.

[0044] In engineering practice, the quantification of prediction uncertainty is very necessary, because it is necessary to obtain the confidence level of remaining life prediction based on this, so as to give a more scientific decision on hard disk maintenance and replacement. Therefore, the present invention uses a hard disk life prediction method based on backpropagation Bayesian deep learning, uses a deep learning framework, and quantifies the uncertainty of hard disk remaining life prediction through Bayesian variational inference...

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Abstract

A hard disk life prediction method based on backpropagation Bayesian deep learning, which optimizes the SMART parameters of the hard disk, screens out SMART parameters with predictive performance, and then performs standardized processing, and then divides the standardized data into sequence samples ; Extract the historical time series information and future time series features of the hard disk; input the historical time series information and future time series features into the linear fully connected layer, and adjust the activation function and learning rate to complete the construction of the remaining life prediction network; generate the remaining life according to the distribution parameters after training The weight parameters and bias parameters of the life prediction network are used to predict the remaining life; the invention integrates the multi-dimensional features of the hard disk, makes full use of the long-term dependence of the hard disk data, extracts the timing information in the hard disk data, and uses the deep learning framework. While achieving high-precision remaining life prediction, quantify the uncertainty of the prediction, and output the prediction confidence with higher guiding significance for hard disk maintenance decisions.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for predicting the life of a hard disk in a data center, in particular to a method for predicting the life of a hard disk based on backpropagation Bayesian deep learning. Background technique [0002] The data center is the core of the modern information system, and the hard disk drive (referred to as the hard disk) is the most important storage carrier for these massive data. status. Once the hard disk is damaged, it will not only cause the loss of important data, but also may cause the entire storage computing system to crash, causing immeasurable property losses to individuals or businesses. Therefore, early warning and troubleshooting of hard disk failures have always been the focus of major data centers. [0003] In recent years, data-driven intelligent prediction algorithms represented by machine learning and deep learning have gradually played a role in the prediction of the remaining life of hard disks. Unli...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F11/22G06Q10/04G06Q10/06G06N3/08G06N3/04
CPCG06F11/2263G06Q10/06393G06Q10/04G06N3/084G06N3/045
Inventor 王宇王国超孙晓杰訾艳阳
Owner XI AN JIAOTONG UNIV
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