Forecasting method of water level of potamic tidewater

A prediction method and water level technology, applied in the field of automation, can solve problems such as weakening high-dimensional nonlinear mapping relationships

Active Publication Date: 2010-01-13
日照市信腾信息科技有限公司
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The above-mentioned empirical method has weakened the influence of tides, runoff, river topography, wind direction and other factors to a certain extent, and weakened the high-dimensional nonlinear mapping relationship between them.

Method used

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Embodiment Construction

[0016] For the tidal water level prediction of a hydrological station in the Qiantang River, the specific implementation steps are as follows:

[0017] Step (1). Construct a neural network model based on the neural network function in the toolbox function library of MATLAB 6.5 and the historical data of the Qiantang River tide water level and time. The specific method is:

[0018] ① Obtain the hydrological data of 1410 groups of tidal water level in 1990 at a hydrological station on the Qiantang River. Tide water level and time data There are four sets of data in a normal day, which are the time and water level value of the high tide level of the daily tide, the time and water level value of the low tide level of the daily tide, the time and water level value of the high tide level of the night tide, and the low tide level of the night tide. time and water level values. Divide these N groups of data into two groups before and after, the front data group is 1000 groups of tra...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a forecasting method of the water level of potamic tidewater. A traditional forecasting method of tidal hour comprises a time propagation method and a time isolation retardation method which weaken the influence of multiple factors, such as tides, radial flows, riverway terrain, wind power, wind directions, and the like on the tidewater to a certain extent. The forecasting method of the water level of the potamic tidewater comprises the following concrete steps: firstly, constructing a neural network model based on a neural network function in a kit function library of MATLAB 6.5 and the history data of tidewater water levels and time; then, utilizing a neural network training function in the kit function library to train a network; utilizing a simulation function to test the network; and finally, using the trained and tested neural network model to forecast a water level value of the next high tide level or the next low tide level. The invention uses the history tidewater data to forecast the water level value of short-term tidewater and can fully neglect the influence of uncertain factors, such as wind directions, rainfall, water supply and drainage, river-bed variation, and the like.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of automation and relates to a method for predicting the tidal water level of rivers. Background technique [0002] The tides of some rivers and rivers are turbulent, the sound of the water is roaring and majestic, and the tide is steep, attracting hundreds of thousands of tourists to stop on both sides of the river to watch the tide every year. On the other hand, the water potential of these river tides and the turbulence of the underwater undercurrent also pose a great threat to the lives and property of the people and tourists living on both sides of the river. According to statistics, people die here every year because they don't understand the water potential of the river tide. It can be seen that it is very meaningful to analyze and predict the change law of the tidal water level and the coming time of the spring tide of the river to protect the safety of life and property of tourists and people on bo...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06N3/02G06N3/08G01F23/00
Inventor 王建中王瑞荣薛安克邹洪波吴峰何峰
Owner 日照市信腾信息科技有限公司
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