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Method for predicting bus taking passenger flow

A forecasting method and passenger flow technology, applied in the field of intelligent transportation, can solve problems such as heavy workload, poor precision, complex estimation and forecasting methods, etc., and achieve the effect of improving accuracy

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-05-04
上海果路交通科技有限公司
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  • Description
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

This estimation and prediction method is complex, with heavy workload, poor accuracy and no timeliness, and it is difficult to meet the real-time scheduling requirements of bus operation

Method used

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  • Method for predicting bus taking passenger flow
  • Method for predicting bus taking passenger flow
  • Method for predicting bus taking passenger flow

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Embodiment Construction

[0030] The present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, so that those skilled in the art can implement it with reference to the description.

[0031] Figure 1 ~ Figure 3 An implementation form according to the present invention is shown, which includes the following steps:

[0032] Step 1): collect the swiping data of the passenger IC card, and record the location information of the bus in real time at the same time. In this example, refer to figure 1 , using the on-board terminal read-write device to collect card swiping data, the terminal read-write device is a POS card reader, and the on-board GPS system is used to record the real-time location information of the bus, wherein the terminal read-write device and the GPS system identity information interact Correlation, that is, the POS machine of the car corresponds to the identity information of the GPS system of the car. The POS machine is connected wirelessly ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting the bus taking passenger flow. The method comprises the following steps: 1, collecting card swiping data of IC cards of passengers, and recording positional information of a bus in real time; 2, obtaining names of stops which the bus passes through and time when the bus arrives at and leaves the stops; 3, obtaining the names of the stops where the passengers take the bus, the time when the passengers take the bus and bus information; 4, judging the stops where the passengers get off the bus; 5, calculating OD data of bus passenger flow and passenger flow in traffic zones according to OD data of daily outgoing of the passengers, and multiplying the OD data of the bus passenger flow with the outgoing coefficient, so that OD data of passenger flow of all bus routes are obtained, then obtaining the outgoing characteristics of all the passengers, and predicting the bus taking passenger flow in the future time according to the outgoing characteristics. By means of the method, the technical problem that the bus taking passenger flow is not easy to predict in real time is solved, and great guiding significance is achieved for making bus dispatching plans and optimizing urban public transportation systems and assisting in bus operation policy making.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of intelligent transportation. More specifically, the present invention relates to a method for predicting bus travel passenger flow. Background technique [0002] At present, collecting OD data of passengers in the bus system is still one of the problems that limit the decision-making and planning of bus dispatching. Passenger information data is huge, real-time update is fast, and passenger flow characteristics change rapidly. These characteristics make manual collection have certain limitations. Therefore, the intelligent method of dynamically acquiring OD data is gradually introduced into this area and plays a role. The real-time acquisition, processing and analysis of dynamic bus passenger flow data is the focus and difficulty of current research, and it needs to be updated and processed continuously with time. With the development of information technology, many large cities have begun to use the pu...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/30
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/40
Inventor 曾小清单晓芳熊天圣张灿程朱静袁腾飞王刚
Owner 上海果路交通科技有限公司
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