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Method and system for assessing current travel demand and predicting future travel demand

A travel demand and purpose technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, special data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as inability to accurately evaluate travel demand, and does not provide methods and systems for travel demand forecasting in traffic areas, so as to improve evaluation and the effect on predictive accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2018-03-06
北京普创赛博科技有限公司
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0006] At present, some technologies that use mobile phone signaling data to analyze the traffic demand between traffic areas have appeared in the existing technology, but the actual situation is that not all residents have wireless communication equipment or some residents have equipment but have not Participate in surveys, i.e. not all travelers have devices that generate mobility data
Based on the traditional data collection method such as the travel survey of residents and the method of using wireless communication device data to obtain residents' travel information in the prior art introduced above, it is impossible to accurately assess the current travel demand
Moreover, the existing technology does not provide a method and system for predicting the future travel demand of the traffic area based on the current travel demand obtained through relatively accurate assessment.

Method used

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  • Method and system for assessing current travel demand and predicting future travel demand
  • Method and system for assessing current travel demand and predicting future travel demand
  • Method and system for assessing current travel demand and predicting future travel demand

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0061] This embodiment provides a method for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area, such as figure 1 As shown, including the following steps:

[0062] S1: Acquire land use data, resident activity characteristic data, and wireless communication device data corresponding to the predetermined area within a predetermined time period. Take the Shangdi-Qinghe area in Beijing as an example. Assuming that this area is the area we will study, the land planning map of the study area can be in GIS format, showing the division of different types of land areas in the land planning.

[0063] With regard to the activity characteristic data of residents, it is possible to conduct an interview survey on the travel conditions of residents in the predetermined area within a predetermined time period, and store the results of the survey in a list or other forms.

[0064] The form of the data sheet and the results of model calibration are shown in Table 1.

[0065] Table 1 Sample o...

Embodiment 2

[0129] Different travel purposes roughly reflect the population, positions, and commercial attractiveness of each community. According to the characteristics of the community, relevant regulations in the field of transportation planning, and the experience of professional and technical personnel, estimate the growth rate of population, positions, and business attractiveness after different forecasting times, and then the traffic occurrence and attraction of each traffic community in the future can be obtained. the amount.

[0130] This embodiment proposes a method for predicting the future travel demand in a predetermined area. The method predicts the future travel demand in the predetermined area based on the data obtained by the method for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area provided in Embodiment 1. The data includes the traffic attraction volume data of each sub-region and the actual travel demand OD matrix data between the sub-regions within a predet...

Embodiment 3

[0170] This embodiment provides a system for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area, such as image 3 Shown, including:

[0171] A data acquisition unit for acquiring land use data, resident activity characteristic data and wireless communication device data corresponding to the predetermined area within a predetermined time period;

[0172] The data analysis unit is configured to divide the predetermined area into n sub-areas according to certain rules, and obtain the land use data and wireless communication device data corresponding to each sub-areas within a predetermined time period through analysis;

[0173] The data fusion unit is used to perform fusion processing on the land use data and wireless communication device data corresponding to each sub-region within a predetermined time period to obtain the first fusion data;

[0174] The information calculation unit obtains current travel demand information of the predetermined area according to the first fusio...

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PUM

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Abstract

A method and device for evaluating current travel demand in a predetermined area, and a method and system for predicting future travel demand in a predetermined area, wherein the method for evaluating current travel demand includes: acquiring land use data corresponding to a predetermined area within a predetermined time period, Resident activity characteristic data and wireless communication equipment data; divide the predetermined area into n sub-areas according to certain rules, and obtain the corresponding land use data and wireless communication equipment data of each sub-area within a predetermined time period through analysis; The corresponding land use data and wireless communication device data within the predetermined time period are respectively fused to obtain first fusion data; current travel demand information in the predetermined area is obtained according to the first fusion data and the resident activity characteristic data. The invention solves the problems of inaccurate and inaccurate data caused by inaccurate and untimely evaluation results in the prior art and failure to consider that not all travelers have equipment that can generate mobile data.

Description

Technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of traffic planning, in particular to a method and system for traffic demand assessment and prediction. Background technique [0002] Since the OD matrix quantitatively displays the spatial distribution of traffic demand in the network, it is of great significance for analyzing and solving urban traffic problems. Therefore, it has gradually gained attention in my country. Some cities regularly conduct traffic surveys to understand the characteristics of traffic demand. [0003] However, in the resident travel survey, travelers are required to recall and record their previous travel. The interviewees often fail to accurately recall their travel information, or lose patience due to the trivial survey items, and refuse to fill in or fill in at will. Accuracy has an impact. [0004] With the rapid advancement of my country’s urbanization process and the increasing scale of cities, the construction of new distric...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F19/00G06Q10/04G06Q50/30
Inventor 陆洋陆化普屈闻聪
Owner 北京普创赛博科技有限公司
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