Method and system for assessing current travel demand and predicting future travel demand
A travel demand and purpose technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, special data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as inability to accurately evaluate travel demand, and does not provide methods and systems for travel demand forecasting in traffic areas, so as to improve evaluation and the effect on predictive accuracy
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Embodiment 1
[0061] This embodiment provides a method for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area, such as figure 1 As shown, including the following steps:
[0062] S1: Acquire land use data, resident activity characteristic data, and wireless communication device data corresponding to the predetermined area within a predetermined time period. Take the Shangdi-Qinghe area in Beijing as an example. Assuming that this area is the area we will study, the land planning map of the study area can be in GIS format, showing the division of different types of land areas in the land planning.
[0063] With regard to the activity characteristic data of residents, it is possible to conduct an interview survey on the travel conditions of residents in the predetermined area within a predetermined time period, and store the results of the survey in a list or other forms.
[0064] The form of the data sheet and the results of model calibration are shown in Table 1.
[0065] Table 1 Sample o...
Embodiment 2
[0129] Different travel purposes roughly reflect the population, positions, and commercial attractiveness of each community. According to the characteristics of the community, relevant regulations in the field of transportation planning, and the experience of professional and technical personnel, estimate the growth rate of population, positions, and business attractiveness after different forecasting times, and then the traffic occurrence and attraction of each traffic community in the future can be obtained. the amount.
[0130] This embodiment proposes a method for predicting the future travel demand in a predetermined area. The method predicts the future travel demand in the predetermined area based on the data obtained by the method for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area provided in Embodiment 1. The data includes the traffic attraction volume data of each sub-region and the actual travel demand OD matrix data between the sub-regions within a predet...
Embodiment 3
[0170] This embodiment provides a system for evaluating the current travel demand in a predetermined area, such as image 3 Shown, including:
[0171] A data acquisition unit for acquiring land use data, resident activity characteristic data and wireless communication device data corresponding to the predetermined area within a predetermined time period;
[0172] The data analysis unit is configured to divide the predetermined area into n sub-areas according to certain rules, and obtain the land use data and wireless communication device data corresponding to each sub-areas within a predetermined time period through analysis;
[0173] The data fusion unit is used to perform fusion processing on the land use data and wireless communication device data corresponding to each sub-region within a predetermined time period to obtain the first fusion data;
[0174] The information calculation unit obtains current travel demand information of the predetermined area according to the first fusio...
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