Flight income prediction method and system

Abstract

The invention relates to a flight income prediction method and system. the method comprises: the real passenger carrying quantity of the target flight can be predicted according to the maximum passenger carrying quantity of the target flight and the passenger occupancy rate prediction value; determining the number of passengers who buy airline tickets with different discounts according to the predicted real passenger carrying quantity and passenger ratio data of the target flight; combining the air ticket complete value of the target flight to obtain income prediction values respectively corresponding to a plurality of discount data; therefore, discount data corresponding to the maximum income prediction value can be selected as an optimal discount scheme. Thus, on the premise that the flight income of airlines is ensured, the disadvantage caused by blindly pushing out a discount scheme by an airline company can be avoided, and any low-price ticket limiting condition deviating from related laws and regulations does not need to be added, so that the rights and interests of passengers are guaranteed, the experience degree of the passengers is improved, and the complaint rate of the passengers due to the fact that the airline ticket discount scheme is not full is reduced.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of aviation information, in particular to a flight revenue forecasting method and system. Background technique [0002] For airlines, the full price of a flight ticket is too high, which will reduce the passenger load factor of the plane. Discounted air tickets can increase the passenger load factor of the flight. At present, airlines often give discounts subjectively based on the past revenue data and passenger load factor data of the flight. Although the passenger load factor has increased, there will be a risk that the ticket discount rate will be too low to reduce the flight revenue. In order to reduce this risk, airlines often set many restrictions for passengers while providing discounted tickets. For example, tickets with a discount of less than 40% cannot be refunded or changed. The airline believes that if low-priced tickets can be refunded or changed at will, the rights and interests of passengers ...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0002] For airlines, the full price of a flight ticket is too high, which will reduce the passenger load factor of the plane. Discounted air tickets can increase the passenger load factor of the flight. At present, airlines often give discounts subjectively based on the past revenue data and passenger load factor data of the flight. Although the passenger load factor has increased, there will be a risk that the ticket discount rate will be too low to reduce the flight revenue. In order to reduce this risk, airlines often set many restrictions for passengers while providing discounted tickets. For example, tickets with a discount of less than 40% cannot be refunded or changed. The airline believes that if low-priced tickets can be refunded or changed at will, the rights and interests of passengers who are willing to pay high prices will not be guaranteed, thereby endangering the airline. For the sale of low-priced tickets, the airline's revenue will be further damaged;

[0003] However, Article 69 of the "Regulations on the International Transportation of Passengers and Luggage by Civil Aviation of China" stipulates that "Voluntary refunds shall be handled in accordance with the following regulations: (1) If all the tickets have not been used, appropriate fees shall be deducted from the paid fare, and the balance shall be refunded; (2) The passenger ticket has been partially used, and the fare equivalent to the applicable fare of the used flight segment and the applicable fees shall be deducted from the paid fare, and the balance shall be refunded", which shows a deviation from the airline's additional restrictive conditions, As a result, the complaint rate of passengers has increased, and even a lot of legal disputes have been caused, seriously endangering the profits of the airlines in the later stage of operation.

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