Method for predicting OD (Origin-Destination) passenger flow among bus stations on basis of IC (Integrated Circuit)-card record and device

Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting the OD (Origin-Destination) passenger flow among bus stations on the basis of IC (Integrated Circuit)-card records and a device, which belong to the technical fields of urban public traffic planning, operation and management. The method comprises the following steps of: identifying passenger getting-on or getting-on and getting-off station information by utilizing a bus-mounted IC-card POS (Point Of Sale) machine and a GPS (Global Positioning System) positioning instrument, transmitting the passenger getting-on or getting-on and getting-off station information to a data center in real time to obtain time-variant passenger-flow data, and estimating the OD passenger flow by combining the characteristics of IC-card historical data and bus routes, and finally predicting the passenger-flow information in the next period of time. The method and the device are favorable to the effective utilization of urban intelligent bus data and the real-time dispatching of a bus system.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method and device for predicting OD (origin-destination) passenger flow between bus stations based on IC card records, and belongs to the technical field of urban public transportation planning, operation and management. Background technique [0002] As the key supporting data of the intelligent public transportation system—the real-time acquisition, processing and analysis of dynamic bus passenger flow data is the focus and difficulty of current research, and it needs to be updated and processed continuously with time. With the development of information technology, many large cities have begun to use the public transport IC card toll system, which not only greatly improves the labor productivity of the public transport industry, but also provides a convenient environment for citizens to take the bus, and provides a basis for the acquisition of dynamic bus passenger flow data. And short-term forecasting provides a new method...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] Aiming at the problems of low efficiency and poor accuracy of OD passenger flow acquisition, estimation and prediction in the existing urban bus operation management, the present invention proposes a method and device for predicting OD passenger flow between bus stops based on IC card records. Historical IC card data and real-time transmitted IC card data are used to predict the OD passenger flow in the next period, and an OD passenger flow estimation method is also provided for the one-ticket bus line. The estimation and prediction method in the present invention is simple and efficient

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