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Infectious disease transmission simulation method and system, terminal and storage medium

A technique for propagation simulation, infectious disease, applied in the field of infectious disease computing

Pending Publication Date: 2022-07-22
SHENZHEN INST OF ADVANCED TECH CHINESE ACAD OF SCI
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

However, very few studies have focused on the impact of the three intervention measures of wearing masks, close contact tracing, and timely detection after the onset of the disease on the likelihood of an outbreak

Method used

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  • Infectious disease transmission simulation method and system, terminal and storage medium
  • Infectious disease transmission simulation method and system, terminal and storage medium
  • Infectious disease transmission simulation method and system, terminal and storage medium

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Embodiment Construction

[0054] In order to make the objectives, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearer, the present invention will be further described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are only used to explain the present invention, but not to limit the present invention.

[0055] In view of the deficiencies of the prior art, the method for simulating the spread of infectious diseases according to the embodiment of the present invention constructs a model including individual family attributes, home addresses, etc. An individual-based model of the spread of infectious diseases (down to the building level). Based on this infectious disease transmission model, it can support the implementation of isolation measures such as home isolation, building isolation, and community isolation. In addition, through the infectious disease transmission model, the individual...

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Abstract

The invention relates to an infectious disease transmission simulation method and system, a terminal and a storage medium. Comprising the following steps: constructing an individual movement model according to multi-source data in a prevention and control area; constructing an individual-based space-time dynamic contact network based on the individual movement model; modeling is carried out according to non-drug intervention measures implemented in the prevention and control area; and building an individual-based infectious disease transmission model based on the dynamic contact network and the intervention measure modeling, and simulating the infectious disease transmission intensity in the prevention and control area through the infectious disease transmission model. The infectious disease transmission intensity of the prevention and control area is simulated through the infectious disease transmission model, fusion modeling of various non-drug intervention measures can be supported, the adherence degree of an individual to various intervention measures can be evaluated, the effectiveness of various non-drug intervention measures for inhibiting infectious disease transmission can be accurately evaluated, and the method is suitable for popularization and application. Therefore, future epidemic prevention and control can be systematically and scientifically assisted.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of infectious disease computing, and in particular relates to an infectious disease propagation simulation method, system, terminal and storage medium. Background technique [0002] The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is a virus that can be transmitted through respiratory droplets. Individuals infected with COVID-19 mainly present with symptoms such as fever, fatigue, and dry cough, with imaging features of pneumonia. According to the latest real-time statistics from the World Health Organization, as of December 9, 2020, Beijing time, there have been 67,780,361 confirmed cases of COVID-19 worldwide and 1,551,214 deaths. The temporal and spatial dynamics of human activity are key drivers of human-to-human transmission of infectious diseases. Most countries in the world have begun to implement various non-drug interventions to deal with the spread of COVID-19 in their countries, including lockdowns, restrictions...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80
CPCG16H50/80
Inventor 尹凌张浩
Owner SHENZHEN INST OF ADVANCED TECH CHINESE ACAD OF SCI
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