A short-term earthquake prediction method and device

Abstract

The embodiment of the invention discloses an earthquake short-term prediction method and device, which aim to solve the problem that since most of the short-term predictions in the prior art are basedon empirical predictions and lack complete scientific basis, the earthquake trend is mainly emphasized, there is a lack of numerical quantitative prediction of three elements of the earthquake, and furthermore, accurate prediction of the occurrence of the earthquake in a short period of time is difficult to realize, and accurate reference suggestions cannot be provided for earthquake disaster reduction work in time. According to the method, a large amount of historical earthquake record data is utilized, geological structure characteristics are combined and analyzed, and the data mining and machine learning methods are comprehensively applied from two dimensions of time and space, so that the earthquake of the region and the region with earthquake space-time correlation relation within the next month is predicted, and therefore reference is provided for earthquake disaster reduction work of each region.

Description

Technical field [0001] The embodiment of the present invention relates to the technical field of earthquake prediction methods, in particular to a short-term earthquake prediction method and device. Background technique [0002] An earthquake is a natural phenomenon, but also a geological disaster. Its destructive power is extremely strong, causing huge casualties and economic losses to human society. Due to the complicated process of earthquake preparation and occurrence, and the undetectable nature of the earth's interior, earthquake prediction is still a worldwide problem. [0003] my country is located at the junction of the Eurasian plate, the Pacific plate and the Indian Ocean plate. Therefore, my country is one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries. In recent years, my country has successively experienced a series of strong earthquakes: the Yushu M7.1 earthquake in Qinghai in 2010, the Lushan M7.0 earthquake in Sichuan in 2013, the Yutian M7.3 earthquake in Xinjia...

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Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to realize the short-term earthquake prediction function, the embodiment of the present invention provides a short-term earthquake prediction method and device to solve the problem that most short-term predictions in the prior art are based on empirical predictions and lack a complete scientific basis, mainly focusing on the occurrence of earthquakes. Due to the lack of numerical and quantitative prediction of the three elements of earthquakes, it is difficult to accurately predict the occurrence of earthquakes in the short term, which leads to the problem of not being able to provide accurate reference suggestions for earthquake disaster reduction in time

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