Aviation meteorological forecasting quality assessment method based on weather influencing flight volume

Abstract

The invention discloses an aviation meteorological forecasting quality assessment method based on weather influencing the flight volume. The method comprises steps of firstly determining meteorological elements having significant influence on the operation of the airport; cleaning historical flight operation data, aviation routine weather report data and terminal airport weather forecast data; counting the amount of flights executed by the airport plan; calculating the impact indexes of weather of the aviation routine weather report and the terminal airport weather forecast on operation of theairport; and finally evaluating the aviation meteorological forecasting quality. The aviation meteorological forecasting quality assessment index in the present invention is a continuous type index,and the calculation is simple and feasible. The calculation result is consistent with the actual experience of the aviation meteorological user, and the limitation that the traditional meteorologicalassessment result cannot be directly applied to the aviation meteorological forecast assessment is broken, which can better serve our country's civil aviation transport.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method for evaluating the quality of aviation weather forecast, in particular to a method for evaluating the quality of aviation weather forecast based on the weather-affected flight volume. Background technique [0002] Aviation weather forecast plays an important role in air traffic management. Air traffic managers need to make reasonable arrangements for future air traffic activities based on the forecast results of aviation weather, and issue appropriate air traffic flow management measures when necessary; airline pilots and dispatchers According to the forecast results of aviation weather, the personnel need to make timely adjustments to the flight, and make a game between the operation efficiency and economic benefits under the premise of flight operation safety; the airport operation and control personnel are responsible for the flight operation status of the airport according to the forecast results of aviation weather...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

The existing evaluation methods of aviation weather forecast mainly refer to the meteorological department. Firstly, they are too professional and lead to too weak applicability: using traditional evaluation indicators such as hit rate, false alarm rate, false alarm rate, etc., the evaluation method is limited to the meteorological profession itself, and cannot Accurately assess the impact of weather on aviation, so it is difficult to give an objective and reasonable forecast quality assessment reference from the perspective of aviation meteorological users, and the evaluation results have little reference significance for aviation meteorological users; secondly, the complexity is too high and the effectiveness is too low : In the traditional meteorological quality assessment methods, too many environmental conditions and assessment criteria need to be considered, which makes the assessment results distorted and inconsistent with the intuitive experience of aviation meteorological users

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