Electric power engineering fund prediction method and device

Abstract

The invention relates to an electric power engineering fund prediction method and device, belongs to the technical field of electric power engineering, and solves the problem of inaccurate prediction result in the prior art. The electric power engineering fund prediction method comprises the steps: comprehensively analyzing a plurality of historical projects to determine influence factors of electric power engineering fund budget, wherein the influence factors comprise project periods, the number of participants, material usage and equipment usage; collecting influence factors of historical projects and corresponding electric power engineering funds; performing normalization processing on the influence factors, and then dividing the normalized influence factors and the corresponding electric power engineering funds into two sets including a training set and a verification set; constructing a neural network model based on Bayesian formula optimization, and training and verifying the neural network model through the training set and the verification set to obtain a prediction model; and inputting the influence factors of the to-be-predicted project into the prediction model to obtain a fund prediction value. The accuracy of prediction results is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of electric power engineering, in particular to a method and device for predicting electric power engineering funds. Background technique [0002] Power projects need to be budgeted before they are implemented, which is an indispensable part of the cost accounting of power companies. Accuracy is related to the financial security of the entire enterprise. Improving the accuracy of capital budget can reduce the capital risk of the enterprise. However, the current capital forecasting system adopted by my country's electric power enterprises generally does not consider the past budget items and income and expenditure levels. Specific projects are budgeted item by item from scratch. [0003] Since the above-mentioned existing systems need to use uncertain data and expert experience for calculation each time, they have poor adaptability to different projects, heavy forecasting workload, and will be affected by subj...

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] In view of the above analysis, the embodiment of the present invention aims to provide a method and device for forecasting power engineering funds to solve the problems of poor adaptability to different projects, heavy forecasting workload, and inaccurate forecasting results in existing methods

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