6223 results about "Outcome predictor" patented technology

The invention discloses a crop growth prediction method based on multi-source data fusion analysis, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the standardization processing and missing value filling processing of multi-source data, constructing a time window, calculating the correlation between data sources, and generating a current data credibility vector based on historical credibility evaluation data; extracting features by adopting multi-scale decomposition, detecting abnormal points and analyzing abnormal degrees, and constructing an abnormal conduction network to evaluate conduction influence; performing feature importance evaluation and feature fusion; initial weight distribution is calculated, a weight prediction model is constructed, and consistency optimization is carried out on a weight matrix; performing hierarchical prediction by adopting a multi-level prediction model, and performing collaborative integration based on a prediction result and an optimized weight matrix; and calculating a prediction result deviation and carrying out optimization adjustment, and outputting a final prediction result. According to the invention, accurate prediction of the crop growth state is realized, and the reliability and practicability of the prediction result are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of electric power short-term load prediction, in particular to an industrial park short-term load prediction method and system based on a Diffusion-Transform-AR model. Acquiring non-stationary historical load data and meteorological data of the industrial park, and performing missing value processing on the data; performing correlation analysis on the data by using the maximum information coefficient, selecting meteorological data with relatively high correlation, and reprocessing time data; performing time sequence decomposition on the load data by using a seasonal trend decomposition method to obtain trend term, seasonal term and residual term features; constructing a diffusion Transform prediction model, and taking the residual term, the meteorological data and the time data as input prediction residual; constructing an autoregression prediction model and taking the trend term as an input prediction trend; according to the method, the advantages of various models are combined, time sequence features are deeply mined, the prediction precision and the model generalization ability are effectively improved, and the method is suitable for complex industrial park load prediction scenes.

The invention relates to a power equipment fault prediction method based on multi-source heterogeneous data and a twinborn model, and the method comprises the following steps: S1, obtaining multi-modal data related to the operation of power equipment, constructing a joint feature encoder through an attention mechanism in deep learning, and carrying out the joint modeling of multi-modal information, and obtaining a joint feature representation; s2, based on joint feature representation, adopting a dynamic twin model of self-supervised learning and fusion reinforcement learning, and dynamically updating the equipment health state; s3, constructing a complete-cycle prediction framework based on Transform, capturing long-term dependency and dynamic change characteristics in equipment operation, and identifying trigger factors of faults in combination with causal relationship analysis; and S4, based on the equipment health state and the fault prediction result, optimizing equipment operation parameters by adopting an intelligent operation and maintenance optimization engine, and dynamically generating an optimal operation and maintenance plan in combination with a genetic algorithm. The reliability and the operation efficiency of the power equipment are remarkably improved.

The invention discloses a pulmonary infectious disease prediction system based on multi-modal data fusion, and aims to improve the accuracy and reliability of disease prediction through comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional data. The system comprises a data acquisition module, a feature extraction module, a dynamic fusion module and a prediction modeling module. The data acquisition module is used for acquiring clinical and medical images and environmental factor data of a patient in real time; the feature extraction module extracts feature vectors of all data sources; the dynamic fusion module performs adaptive weight distribution on the multi-modal features and fuses the multi-modal features into multi-modal feature representation; the prediction modeling module is used for carrying out dynamic change trend modeling on the multi-modal feature representation through time sequence analysis so as to generate a probability prediction value of suffering from pulmonary infectious diseases and a disease trend prediction result of the patient; the invention provides a comprehensive and efficient disease prediction method by utilizing the collaborative advantage of multi-modal data and combining an attention mechanism and time sequence analysis, and can be widely applied to the fields of medical diagnosis and public health management.

This application relates to the field of geological disaster early warning technology, and discloses a method for monitoring, predicting and warning of geological disasters based on artificial intelligence, including the following steps: data collection: collecting geological disaster monitoring data; data preprocessing: time alignment and missing completion of the collected data; spatiotemporal correlation matrix construction: analyzing the preprocessed monitoring data; feature extraction: extracting the nonlinear spatiotemporal characteristics of geological disaster monitoring data; time series prediction: outputting the geological disaster risk level in the future period; feedback optimization: based on the error between the prediction result and the actual observation data; warning release: generating geological disaster warning information based on the predicted risk level. Through data collection, preprocessing, feature extraction, prediction optimization and warning release, a complete geological disaster monitoring and prediction method is constructed, which integrates multi-source data, extracts key features and dynamically predicts risks, so as to ensure the accuracy of the model and provide a scientific basis for disaster prevention and control.

The invention relates to the technical field of operation and maintenance scenes, in particular to a fault diagnosis prediction method and system based on an operation and maintenance scene, and the method comprises the steps: collecting equipment data, and constructing a scene fault diagnosis model; performing nonlinear fusion on the collected operation and maintenance data and historical maintenance records to obtain a real-time data fusion result; constructing an adaptive prediction algorithm based on interaction of a scenarized fault diagnosis model and real-time data fusion; and establishing a multi-level warning system according to a prediction result. According to the method, through multi-dimensional data acquisition, nonlinear data fusion, adaptive algorithm prediction and a multi-level warning system, accurate prediction and effective prevention of equipment faults are realized. Experimental results show that compared with a traditional method and a general machine learning method, the method has remarkable advantages in the aspects of early warning accuracy, false alarm rate, early warning time in advance and the like, meanwhile, the maintenance cost is effectively reduced, the downtime of equipment is shortened, and the method has good application prospects.

The invention provides a power prediction precision improvement method and system for a wind and light station, and relates to the technical field of new energy power generation, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the historical power, weather and equipment operation data of the wind and light station through a data preprocessing module, and carrying out the time sequence decomposition, spatial interpolation, abnormal value detection and correction, and obtaining the fusion feature data. And constructing a deep learning prediction model based on the fused feature data, extracting spatial features by using a convolutional neural network, processing the spatial features by using a long-short-term memory network to obtain an initial prediction result, introducing an attention mechanism to perform weight allocation to obtain weighted features, and combining to obtain power prediction data. And judging the weather type according to the real-time meteorological condition, and correcting by adopting the matched correction model when the extreme weather is identified. And finally, an error compensation model is constructed based on historical prediction errors for compensation, a final power prediction result is obtained, error correction is performed according to actual power data, and compensation model parameters are updated.

The invention discloses an adapter life prediction system based on digital twinning and a dynamic early warning method. The system comprises a multi-source data acquisition module, a digital twinning model construction module, a data coordination module, a life prediction module and a calibration module. According to the method, the adapter full-life-cycle digital twins are constructed, the limitation of one-way static analysis of a traditional life prediction technology is broken through, and dynamic health assessment under multi-dimensional data driving is achieved; a cross-dimension feature fusion and closed-loop calibration mechanism is innovatively proposed, and the industrial problems that multi-source asynchronous data is weak in relevance and sudden abnormal response lags behind are effectively solved; through the synergistic effect of the generative adversarial network and the attention model, the stability and credibility of a prediction result are remarkably improved under a complex working condition; the technology can be adapted to a harsh use environment of an industrial adapter, and quantifiable and traceable decision support is provided for intelligent operation and maintenance of power electronic equipment.

The invention provides a construction method of a comprehensive intelligent early warning system for a traumatic patient, and relates to the technical field of medical artificial intelligence, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the processing of multi-modal data through a feature engineering framework, and extracting multi-scale time sequence features and correlation features; carrying out abnormal state identification and complication risk prediction by adopting a deep learning prediction framework, and carrying out feature fusion through an attention mechanism; constructing a medical knowledge graph to obtain vector representation of domain rule knowledge; and performing integrated verification through a bidirectional mapping mechanism to generate a prediction result. According to the invention, accurate early warning of disease development of the trauma patient can be realized, the early warning accuracy and interpretability are improved, and effective support is provided for clinical decision making.

The invention discloses a water turbine state intelligent prediction method which comprises the following steps: collecting multi-source sensor data of a water turbine, including vibration, temperature, pressure, flow and electrical parameters; performing space-time alignment preprocessing on the multi-source sensor data to generate a space-time associated data set; extracting and fusing the features of the space-time associated data through a multi-modal space-time diagram network, and generating a joint feature vector; performing health state prediction on the joint feature vector based on a dynamic digital twinborn model, and outputting a health score, a fault probability and a confidence interval; analyzing a fault propagation path by using a causal reasoning module, positioning a fault root cause and generating an interpretable report; and triggering an early warning or maintenance decision according to the prediction result. According to the technical scheme, the technical problems that multi-source heterogeneous data fusion is difficult, fault coupling and propagation are uncertain, real-time performance and computing resources are contradictory, and interpretability and reliability are insufficient are solved.

The invention discloses an industrial and commercial park electrical load power prediction method, and relates to the technical field of electrical load prediction, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining park electrical equipment power data, and obtaining a standardized time sequence power matrix through normalization preprocessing; performing wavelet denoising and empirical mode decomposition on the power matrix, and separating a power trend component from a fluctuation component; constructing a trend prediction sub-model by using a long-short term memory network, and constructing a fluctuation prediction sub-model by using a seasonal ARIMA model; carrying out weighted combination on the two sub-models through an integrated learning method, and constructing a comprehensive prediction model; and finally, based on the historical prediction error, setting an adaptive threshold value for constraint processing, and outputting a final prediction result. According to the method, power data features are adaptively separated through a multi-level decomposition strategy, a dual-model collaborative prediction mechanism is adopted, environmental factors are introduced to improve prediction precision, a self-adaptive correction mechanism is designed to ensure result reliability, and accuracy and stability of park power load prediction are remarkably improved.

The invention discloses an industrial equipment health monitoring and fault early warning system based on edge computing, belongs to the technical field of edge computing, and aims to solve the technical problem of how to efficiently realize health monitoring and fault early warning of equipment in real time and identify different types of faults. Each edge computing node is used for taking local data as input, predicting a fault category and a probability value corresponding to the fault category through a local model, outputting the fault category and the probability value as a prediction result, encrypting the local data and the prediction result through the cloud edge collaboration module and then sending the local data and the prediction result to the central server layer, the fusion model comprises three fault diagnosis models, namely a first fault model constructed based on LSTM, a second fault analysis model constructed based on a rule expert model and a third fault analysis model constructed based on a physical model; and the central server layer is used for fusing prediction results based on a self-adaptive weight mechanism.

The invention provides a concrete production management method and system based on digital twinning, and relates to the technical field of digital twinning, and the method comprises the steps: collecting the health monitoring data of concrete production equipment in real time through a plurality of sensors, and collecting the full life cycle event data of the concrete production equipment; preprocessing the health monitoring data at an edge end, extracting state features of the equipment, performing real-time diagnosis by using a pre-trained fault prediction model based on the state features of the equipment, and constructing an equipment multi-level digital twinborn model at a cloud platform; the method comprises the following steps: fusing a pre-constructed physical degradation model and a data driving model based on a multi-level digital twinborn model, constructing an equipment residual life prediction model, and dynamically adjusting a concrete production strategy in the digital twinborn model according to an obtained prediction result to obtain an optimal concrete production scheduling scheme. And the information is converted into an equipment control instruction, so that automatic issuing and execution of a concrete production scheduling scheme are realized.

The invention discloses a marketing decision analysis system and method based on artificial intelligence, and aims to improve the intelligent level of marketing decision, optimize resource allocation and improve the rate of return on investment. The system comprises a data analysis module, a prediction evaluation module, an AI decision engine and a knowledge management module. The data analysis module obtains marketing-related data from a plurality of data sources and generates a market insight result. And the prediction evaluation module predicts the potential effect of the marketing scheme by adopting a statistical analysis method based on the market insight result and the historical marketing data, and obtains a marketing prediction result. And the AI decision engine receives the market insight result and the marketing prediction result, and determines an optimal marketing decision scheme based on multi-round dialogue management, knowledge graph construction and decision reasoning technologies. According to the marketing decision analysis system and method, accurate, efficient and reusable marketing decisions are realized in a data driving mode, and the scientificity and the performability of enterprise marketing strategies are improved.

The invention discloses a solar radiation space-time prediction method and system based on physical information constraint and a neural network, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-dimensional time sequence meteorological data, extracting high-dimensional time sequence dynamic features, converting geographic space data into a fuzzy set, and carrying out the defuzzification of the fuzzy set through an inference rule, thereby obtaining geographic space features; and a gating mechanism is adopted to realize deep fusion of the space-time features to generate high-dimensional space-time fusion features. In a model training stage, an energy conservation equation is introduced into an optimization process, a physical residual error is constructed by calculating a time derivative and a space derivative of a predicted value, a physical constraint total loss function is formed in combination with a data loss item, and model parameters are updated by using a gradient descent method. According to the method, the accuracy and reliability of a prediction result are remarkably improved while the calculation efficiency is ensured, and the method is particularly suitable for solar radiation prediction under complex meteorological conditions; according to the method, abnormal prediction caused by data noise can be effectively corrected, and a solution with physical rationality and data adaptability is provided for the fields of solar resource evaluation, photovoltaic power generation power prediction and the like.

The invention discloses a source-grid-load-storage integrated optimal scheduling method and system for a micro-grid, and relates to the technical field of smart grids and micro-grids, and the method comprises the steps: firstly collecting multi-source data in a specified micro-grid, and carrying out the optimization storage of the multi-source data in a time sequence database; constructing a time sequence prediction model, predicting generating capacity and load demand according to historical data, generating a preliminary scheduling strategy according to the generating capacity and load demand, realizing comprehensive cost minimization, analyzing the strategy, evaluating deviation and abnormity, and finally correcting the strategy according to an evaluation result; comprising an intelligent data aggregation module, a time sequence data prediction module, a preliminary scheduling generation module, a preliminary scheduling strategy analysis module and a real-time optimization feedback module, influences of various data sources are considered, the model can be adjusted in real time, variable power demands and power generation conditions in a micro-grid environment can be better coped with, and the real-time optimization feedback is realized. The accuracy of a prediction result is greatly improved, so that a powerful basis is provided for scheduling decision making, and risks possibly caused by prediction deviation are avoided.

The invention discloses a data-mechanism dual-drive-based rock burst early warning method and system, and the method comprises the following steps: deploying a multi-modal sensor network to collect coal and rock stratum data, building a rock burst disaster precursor information sample database, providing a rock burst disaster multi-modal data precursor feature recognition algorithm, and carrying out the recognition of rock burst disaster multi-modal data precursor features. Mining the relevance between the multi-modal data and disaster-causing key risk indexes, and establishing a rock burst disaster multi-modal data prediction model; establishing a three-dimensional geological geometric model, fusing a multi-field coupling dynamics constitutive model and a catastrophe criterion, constructing a PINN physical information neural network prediction model of the rock burst disaster, and obtaining a time-space evolution rule of an energy field of a target area; providing a loss function coupling calculation method of a multi-modal data driving sample error and a physical driving control equation residual error, dynamic data and mechanism prediction result weight, comprehensively calculating a risk score, and accurately judging a top disaster danger level.

The invention discloses a method for analyzing a matching degree between a demand and an output result based on text semantics. The method comprises the following steps: step 1, labeling a data set; step 2, technical document preprocessing; 3, training and predicting a single-parameter model; 4, integrating prediction results of the multi-parameter model; the method has the beneficial effects thatthe method is simple; deep learning and the NLP technology are applied to the field of project association degree calculation of enterprise project management for the first time. Calculating an association matching degree between the two projects according to project requirements and result description; the associated project positioning difficulty is effectively reduced; meanwhile, the demand side can be helped to quickly and efficiently locate high-quality projects adapting to the demand of the demand side; time and resource investment for achievement screening and matching are greatly reduced, the association matching degree between projects is calculated by means of text data of existing project achievement technical documents and project declaration guidelines, and then large enterprises are assisted in screening high-quality projects with the high matching degree in the project bidding and tendering link.

A dynamic optimization system for energy consumption of a refrigeration house based on digital twinning is characterized by comprising a data acquisition module used for acquiring basic structure data of the refrigeration house, technical parameters of a refrigeration system, real-time operation data and historical operation data, preprocessing the data and then outputting a standardized multi-dimensional real-time data stream; the model construction module is used for constructing a 3D geometric model, a thermodynamic transfer model and a refrigeration system mathematical model according to the multi-dimensional real-time data flow, performing machine learning calibration on model parameters through historical operation data, and performing fusion to construct a refrigeration house digital twin model; the prediction analysis module is used for predicting future energy consumption demand and load change according to the refrigeration house digital twin model and the real-time operation data, and outputting an energy consumption prediction result and a load analysis report; a strategy generation module; an execution feedback module; and a learning optimization module. Overall energy consumption of the refrigeration house is reduced, energy utilization efficiency is remarkably improved, and goods storage safety is guaranteed.

The present application discloses a cloud resource prediction method and system based on a GC-LSTM neural network model, an electronic device, and a readable storage medium. The method comprises two stages: a training stage and a prediction stage. In the training stage, historical data of cloud resources is collected and normalized to obtain a training data set, input data and labels used for training a neural network are organized and made, and an established GC-LSTM neural network model is trained. In the prediction stage, by means of acquired real-time sampling data, the trained model is loaded to perform result prediction, and, on the basis of a prediction result, resources may be scheduled and distributed to respond in advance. The present application aims to predict customers' demands for resources in advance and optimize customers' cloud experience. The model provided by the present application is simple and has few parameters, can guarantee the real-time performance of the prediction result, is practical and feasible, is suitable for the prediction of cloud resource utilization, and provides a guarantee for instant scheduling of resources.

An golf tournament simulation method may include generating predicted hole scores for each hole of each round of a golf tournament. Historical shot data corresponding to a historical occurrence of one or more hole events may be utilized as weight to generate predicted outcomes of hole events for each hole. A score probability distribution may be assigned to the predicted outcomes to generate predicted hole scores. Simulations may be analyzed for predicted outcome probabilities such as win probability, cutline, or Top-10 finish probability. The simulations may be updated during actual play by replacing predicted scores with actual scores. Predicted outcome probabilities may be updated based on the updated simulations updated to include the actual scores.

The invention belongs to the technical field of power prediction, and discloses a new energy power prediction method and system based on multi-source meteorological data fusion, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining meteorological data from different meteorological data sources in real time or at regular time through a data obtaining module; carrying out preliminary screening and preprocessing on the obtained data by utilizing a data processing module; the data fusion module is used for integrating meteorological data from different sources by adopting an advanced data fusion algorithm to eliminate data redundancy; a mathematical model or a machine learning model suitable for new energy power prediction is constructed by using the prediction model module based on meteorological data of multi-source fusion; and the result output and evaluation module is used for outputting the prediction result to a user in a visual form, and carrying out real-time or regular evaluation on the prediction result. The method has the characteristics of diversified data sources, advanced data fusion technology, flexible prediction model construction, high real-time performance and accuracy, wide application scenarios and the like.

The invention discloses a multi-model fusion parallelization reservoir parameter prediction method, system, equipment and medium, and the prediction method comprises the following steps: standardizing logging curve data and actually measured reservoir parameter data, constructing a BiGRU-TCN-Transform model, determining an optimal parameter combination, and training to obtain a final model; inputting the training set data into the model for training until the model converges, and obtaining a trained prediction model; predicting the test set data, and outputting a final prediction result; secondly, an improved VAE-Attention model is constructed, the prediction result in the first step serves as input, and a final operation result of the model is output through model processing; the invention further comprises a multi-model fusion parallelization reservoir parameter prediction system, equipment and a medium. The precision is improved, and good stability, reliability and applicability are achieved.

The invention discloses a whole course follow-up visit management system and method for gynaecology and obstetrics patients, and relates to the field of medical information management.The method comprises the steps that when a patient sees a doctor for the first time, basic information, medical related information, medical image data, gene detection data, sensor data and patient self-report data of the patient are input; preprocessing the input patient data, and integrating the preprocessed patient data into a personal health record; establishing a health assessment model of the patient based on the integrated personal health record, outputting a current health assessment score of the patient, and generating a follow-up visit plan according to the current health assessment score of the patient; and establishing an obstetrical complication prediction model based on the personal health record, and outputting a patient complication prediction value. Potential obstetrical complication risks are recognized in advance, especially when the health condition of the pregnant and lying-in woman changes, the prediction result can be dynamically updated, real-time monitoring and early warning of complication are achieved, and safety management of the lying-in woman is optimized.

The invention discloses a new energy equipment health prediction and intelligent maintenance method based on multi-source data fusion, and the method comprises the steps: building a dynamic health state evaluation model through a system in combination with equipment operation parameters and environment variables; monitoring the running state of the equipment in real time, and grading the health degree of the equipment; based on fault prediction of data, a deep learning algorithm is introduced to carry out modeling on time series data, and possible fault occurrence time and types of equipment are predicted by capturing potential trends and change modes in operation of the equipment; a dynamic prediction function is provided, a prediction result is updated in time, and synchronism of a model and an actual equipment state is ensured; and generating an optimized maintenance plan according to the health diagnosis and prediction result. Through innovative design of a multi-source data fusion technology and an intelligent prediction algorithm, a core pain point in operation and maintenance of current new energy equipment is solved, a feasible path is provided for full-life-cycle management of the equipment, and the method has remarkable economic value and industry popularization potential.

The invention relates to the technical field of health management and artificial intelligence, in particular to an old people health analysis system and method based on combination of medicine and nursing. The method comprises the steps of collecting and processing multi-modal health data, and generating a health data vector set; mapping the vector set to a standardized health knowledge ontology, constructing a health map initial structure and generating a map node vector; generating a health portrait and an evolution prediction result based on time sequence modeling; identifying risk features according to the health portrait and the prediction result, and generating a medical care service strategy set; and issuing the strategy set to an execution unit and collecting feedback, and finally updating a graph structure and optimizing model parameters based on feedback data. According to the invention, multi-modal data-driven old people health dynamic evolution modeling and personalized service strategy closed-loop optimization are realized, and the intelligent level and response efficiency of medical and nursing services are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of computer science and artificial intelligence, and discloses a digital twin basin flood disaster early warning plan generation system based on deep learning, and the system comprises a data collection and processing module which obtains and standardizes multi-source data of basin meteorology, hydrology, terrain, remote sensing and the like in real time, and provides real-time data input; the digital twinborn modeling module is used for constructing a digital twinborn model of a watershed hydrological dynamic process according to the real-time data and outputting a simulation result; the deep learning prediction module is used for receiving a simulation result, training a prediction model and outputting space and time distribution prediction of flood disasters; the emergency response generation module is used for generating an emergency plan of the flood disaster according to the prediction result; and the system feedback module is used for evaluating an emergency plan and a prediction effect and providing an adjustment basis for future disaster early warning. According to the invention, accurate flood disaster prediction based on real-time data can be realized, the accuracy and response efficiency of an emergency plan are improved, and disaster loss is reduced.

The invention discloses a power flow generating capacity prediction method based on STL decomposition and multi-model fusion, which adopts an STL decomposition method to perform trend term, season term and residual term decomposition on historical generating capacity data, optimizes the decomposition process through a Bisquare weighting function and an internal loop iteration mechanism, and enhances the processing capacity for abnormal values and high-frequency fluctuations. The method comprises the following steps: extracting multi-scale frequency domain features by using a TimeNet model in combination with fast Fourier transform (FFT), predicting a trend term and a seasonal term, and performing accurate modeling on a residual term by using an Itransform model in combination with a self-attention mechanism and gating residual connection. Meteorological factors related to the tidal current generating capacity are screened, prediction is carried out in combination with historical operation data, and high-precision prediction of the tidal current generating capacity is achieved. The method has high adaptability and robustness, can effectively deal with multi-source influence and high-frequency fluctuation in tidal current power generation data, and provides an accurate and stable prediction result.

The invention discloses an old people chronic disease risk prediction method and system based on a time sequence knowledge graph, and belongs to the technical field of medical health information, and the method comprises the following steps: S1, obtaining a health data set of an old people group; s2, on the basis of an ESOA-XGBoost algorithm, performing feature selection and sorting on each piece of health data in the health data set so as to determine correlation among variables, and generating a health data feature set; s3, constructing and training a time sequence knowledge graph prediction model including an STKGR-PR model and a T i PNN model, and predicting a relationship among the target entity, other entities and time sequence information through the time sequence knowledge graph prediction model; s4, predicting the old chronic disease risk of the old people group according to the trained time sequence knowledge graph prediction model; through the method, an elderly chronic disease risk prediction result with a good prediction effect and high accuracy can be obtained.

The invention discloses an interpretability prediction analysis system for multivariable time series data. According to the method, the prediction precision and the decision support capability of the complex time series data are remarkably improved through multi-module cooperation. Firstly, an adaptive learning optimization module dynamically adjusts model parameters and a prediction strategy, so that the model can quickly adapt to time-varying characteristics of data distribution, for example, when a causal relationship between variables suddenly changes, the weight of latest data is automatically enhanced, and historical noise interference is reduced. The dynamic causal interpretation engine tracks the influence intensity and hysteresis effect of key variables in real time, converts traditional black box prediction into a traceable causal relationship chain, and helps a user to intuitively understand driving factors of a prediction result, for example, it is identified that prediction value sudden increase in a certain period is mainly derived from hysteresis effect accumulation of an upstream variable A.