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Method and device for predicting variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature

A technology of changing trends and carbon concentration, applied in the field of environmental economics, can solve problems such as ignoring the role of consumers

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-09-21
UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
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  • Abstract
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Problems solved by technology

[0005] 2. Ignore the role of consumers in the model

Method used

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  • Method and device for predicting variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature
  • Method and device for predicting variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature
  • Method and device for predicting variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature

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Embodiment Construction

[0046] The specific implementation manners of the present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. The following examples are used to illustrate the present invention, but are not intended to limit the scope of the present invention.

[0047] figure 1 It shows that Embodiment 1 of the present invention provides a method for predicting changes in carbon concentration and temperature in the atmosphere, including:

[0048]S11. Obtain forecast parameter data, the forecast parameter data includes demographic and technical parameters, emission parameters, carbon cycle parameters, temperature parameters, and preset consumer concern and participation. In this step, it should be noted that the prediction parameter data is any data required in the prediction process in the embodiment of the present invention, and there are many methods for obtaining data, such as obtaining through instruments, obtaining through s...

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Abstract

The invention provides a method and device for predicting the variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature. The method comprises steps of: acquiring prediction parameter data including a population and technology parameter, an emission parameter, a carbon cycle parameter, a temperature parameter, and a preset consumer degree of attention and participation; computing a prediction assessment result by using a dynamically-integrated uncertainty climate economics model; and displaying the prediction assessment result. The method and device for predicting the variation trend of atmospheric carbon concentration and temperature acquire the prediction assessment result by adding an uncertainty factor, the consumer degree of attention and participation, to the prediction parameter data and then analyzing and processing the data with the dynamically-integrated uncertainty climate economics model, and display the prediction assessment result in the form of words, icons, or pictures so as to enable the prediction assessment result more accurate than a previous prediction result.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of environmental economics, in particular to a method and device for predicting the change trend of carbon concentration and temperature in the atmosphere. Background technique [0002] With the intensification of industrialization, the concentration of carbon in the air is on the rise, and the accompanying climate problems are becoming more and more serious. Climate change is a long-term phenomenon that affects every aspect of our lives. Many economists use the Integral Assessment Model (IAM) to assess and predict climate change in order to control carbon intensity and temperature rise. [0003] Various models and platforms at this stage are updated and improved based on models such as PAGE, FUND, and DICE, such as adding external factors such as climate and energy to the model, or reassigning certain parameters in the model, The effects of these factors on carbon concentration and temperature changes are...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04Y02A90/10
Inventor 吴德胜
Owner UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
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