Cyanobacterial bloom prediction method based on dynamic deep belief network

A deep belief network and cyanobacterial bloom technology, which is applied in the field of algal bloom prediction, can solve the problems of difficulty in predicting an appropriate amount of samples and low accuracy of algal bloom prediction, so as to facilitate the processing of time series problems, avoid local optimal phenomena, and improve prediction accuracy. Effect

Active Publication Date: 2020-07-17
BEIJING TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS UNIVERSITY
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Problems solved by technology

[0007] The purpose of the present invention is to solve the problems of the existing water bloom prediction accuracy is not high, it is difficult to predict through appropriate samples, and combine the improved depth belief network method with the time series model to build a dynamic depth belief network prediction model , so as to improve the prediction accuracy of algal blooms and provide a new idea for the prediction of algae blooms in lakes and reservoirs

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  • Cyanobacterial bloom prediction method based on dynamic deep belief network
  • Cyanobacterial bloom prediction method based on dynamic deep belief network
  • Cyanobacterial bloom prediction method based on dynamic deep belief network

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Embodiment 1

[0082] Taking the chlorophyll-a concentration data of the Taihu Lake Basin in Jiangsu Province as an example, the method proposed by the present invention is used to predict cyanobacterial blooms. Taking the observation data of Taihu Lake from 2011 to 2012 as an example, after data screening and normalization processing, a total of 1320 chlorophyll concentration data samples were selected for 440 days, and three samples were selected every day. Among them, the first 660 data are selected as training samples, such as image 3 shown. The last 660 data are selected as test samples.

[0083] Step 1. Establish a DDBN model;

[0084] Chlorophyll is selected as an index to characterize the existing amount of algae in water bodies, according to figure 1 A DDBN algal bloom prediction model for building characterization factors of the structure. The data in the selected training samples are composed of windows that move forward sequentially according to the time series, and are divi...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a cyanobacteria bloom prediction method based on a dynamic deep belief network, belonging to the technical field of water quality monitoring. The prediction method of the present invention includes three parts: establishing a DDBN model, updating a learning algorithm of a dynamic restricted Boltzmann machine DRBM, and adopting a BP neural network reverse propagation algorithm to fine-tune the parameters of the DDBN model. The present invention improves the traditional RBM weight update formula, so that the weight, bias and learning rate update formulas are sequential, which facilitates the processing of time series problems and improves the prediction accuracy; the backpropagation algorithm only fine-tunes the parameters related to time t , which not only avoids the occurrence of local optimum, but also reduces the time for fine-tuning.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a water bloom prediction method, which belongs to the technical field of water quality monitoring. Specifically, it is a water bloom prediction method that improves the prediction accuracy of a dynamic deep belief network (Dynamic Deep Belief Nets, DDBN) prediction model established after analyzing the generation process of water blooms. Background technique [0002] In recent years, due to people's large-scale production, water eutrophication has become more and more common, causing serious water ecological problems. Water bloom is one of the typical characteristics of water eutrophication. The outbreak of water bloom destroys the structure of ecosystem and seriously restricts economic construction and social development. Water bloom has become a major problem in domestic and foreign governance. Therefore, it is of great significance to deeply study the outbreak process of algal blooms, and to effectively predict and simulat...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06N3/04G06N3/08G06Q10/04G06Q50/26
CPCG06N3/08G06N3/084G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/045Y02A20/152
Inventor 王立张天瑞王小艺许继平于家斌赵峙尧张慧妍
Owner BEIJING TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS UNIVERSITY
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