The invention relates to the technical field of agricultural
data analysis, in particular to a
crop disease and
insect pest
data prediction method and
system, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining environment parameters of a planting area, positioning a
mutation point, determining a species
diffusion risk range, carrying out the statistics of temperature and
humidity change frequencies, obtaining species
diffusion frequency data, and recognizing environment factor correlation indexes. Screening a deviation node set, analyzing the
response time difference, carrying out clustering analysis, and generating a dynamic
change prediction data set. According to the method, by accurately capturing environmental parameter changes and monitoring key nodes of a propagation path in real time, the species
diffusion range and intensity can be efficiently identified, pest and
disease damage occurrence can be accurately predicted, pest and
disease damage trends in different areas can be effectively predicted, and the limitation that a traditional method depends on meteorological data and historical records is overcome; the node
density change is evaluated and normalized through a clustering
analysis method, the dynamic
change prediction precision of the planting area is improved, and more effective decision support is provided for agricultural managers.