Energy load hybrid prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium

Abstract

The invention relates to an energy load hybrid prediction method and device, computer equipment, a storage medium and a computer program product. The method comprises the following steps: constructing an independent load prediction model corresponding to each energy type; inputting the actual load data corresponding to each energy type of the N historical days into an independent load prediction model corresponding to each energy type to obtain a predicted load coupling result corresponding to each energy type of the to-be-predicted day; determining model variable information corresponding to each energy type; for each energy type, constructing a hybrid load prediction model corresponding to the energy type according to the model endogenous variable and the model exogenous variable; and inputting the actual load data corresponding to each energy type of the N historical days into the mixed load prediction model corresponding to each energy type to obtain mixed prediction load data corresponding to each energy type of the to-be-predicted day. By adopting the method, effective estimation of medium-and-long-term load conditions is realized, and reasonable configuration of energy storage links in an energy supply system can be facilitated.

Description

technical field [0001] The present application relates to the field of energy technology, and in particular, to a method, device, computer equipment, storage medium and computer program product for mixed prediction of energy load. Background technique [0002] For medium and long-term energy load forecasting, due to the many uncertain factors affecting medium and long-term load forecasting, there is little historical data for reference, and the development of various regions is not completely the same, resulting in accurate analysis and research on medium and long-term load forecasting. It is difficult, and the medium and long-term load forecasting has been downplayed for a long time, and the related research in this area is also less concerned than the short-term load forecasting. [0003] Therefore, there is a problem that the medium and long-term load forecasting effect is not good in the related art. SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION [0004] Based on this, it is necessary to ...

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Problems solved by technology

[0002] For mid- and long-term energy load forecasting, due to the many uncertain factors affected by mid- and long-term load forecasting, there are few historical data information that can be used for reference, and the development of various regions is not completely the same, so it is very difficult to conduct accurate analysis and research on mid- and long-term load forecasting. Difficult, and medium and long-term load forecasting has been downplayed for a long time, and related research in this area has paid less attention than short-term load forecasting

[0003] Therefore, there is a problem that the medium and long-term load forecasting effect is not good in the related technology

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