Oil-well oil water content multi-model prediction method based on time sequence

A technology of time series and forecasting methods, applied in forecasting, character and pattern recognition, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems affecting production monitoring, manual sampling, time-consuming and laborious, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-06-01
BOHAI UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a time-series-based multi-model forecasting method for water content of oil well oil that solves the time-consuming and labor-intensive manual sampling of water content of oil well oil and affects the real-time performance of production monitoring and oil production data. For some historical periods, the water cut data of oil well oil can be used to predict the water cut data of the next time point

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  • Oil-well oil water content multi-model prediction method based on time sequence
  • Oil-well oil water content multi-model prediction method based on time sequence
  • Oil-well oil water content multi-model prediction method based on time sequence

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Embodiment Construction

[0091] The time-series-based multi-model prediction method of oil well oil water content, the specific steps are as follows:

[0092] 1. Use historical data to establish a data set of water content of oil well oil, including 440 data, expressed as {x i ,i=1,2,…,440}, 440 data are arranged in the order of time points (unit is day), and according to the sequence of data in the oil well oil water content data set, record each data in the oil well oil water content data set The sequence number is {index i ,i=1,2,...,440}.

[0093] 2. Use the wavelet analysis method to analyze the oil well oil water content data set {x i} to preprocess the data, specifically: firstly, {x i} is subjected to three-layer wavelet decomposition, according to the formula (1) to the data set {x i} for decomposition:

[0094] xr low J ...

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Abstract

The invention relates to an oil-well oil water content multi-model prediction method based on a time sequence, and the method is characterized in that the method comprises the following steps: 1), building an oil-well oil water content data set through employing historical data: {xi, i=1, 2,...,N}; 2), carrying out the pre-processing of the data in the oil-well oil water content data set {xi, i=1, 2,...,N} through employing a wavelet analysis method; 3), carrying out the classification of {xi} Wave through employing a neighbor propagation cluster algorithm; 4), enabling the data in each cluster to be represented in a following time sequence mode (shown in the description); 5), building a time sequence model of each cluster according to an extreme learning machine algorithm, and obtaining a prediction value through employing the time sequence models. The method solves problems that a conventional manual sampling method of oil-well oil water content consumes time and labor and affects the production monitoring and the instantaneity of oil extraction data.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of petroleum production, in particular to a multi-model prediction method for water content of oil well oil based on time series. Background technique [0002] The water content of oil well oil is an important indicator of oil field production, not only related to the development life of oil well, but also related to the economic benefits of enterprises. Therefore, it is of great significance to measure the oil well production accurately, evaluate the production value and production degree of the oil reservoir, and formulate the production plan. At present, the method of manual sampling and re-distillation is still widely used to measure the water content of oil well oil. The workers regularly go to the oil well for manual sampling, and then send the oil back to the technical department for experimental analysis. This method is time-consuming and laborious, and affects production monitoring and control. The real-time...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/02G06K9/62
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/02G06F18/24147
Inventor 李琨韩莹魏泽飞佘东生杨一柳于震
Owner BOHAI UNIV
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