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High-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting method

A short-term forecasting and ionospheric technology, applied in the field of ionospheric research and application, can solve the problems of poor forecasting accuracy and few research results, and achieve the effect of improving short-term forecasting capabilities

Active Publication Date: 2020-03-24
中国电波传播研究所
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Problems solved by technology

[0002] At present, the single-station short-term forecasting technology of ionospheric parameters has been well developed and has high forecasting accuracy, but there are still relatively few research results related to the regional short-term forecasting technology of ionospheric parameters, and the forecasting accuracy is also poor

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Embodiment 1

[0039] Embodiment 1, this embodiment discloses a high-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting method, its technical solution is: establish a high-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting model that combines the ionospheric region assimilation model and the empirical short-term forecasting method, for different Different input data and forecast models are used for the forecast duration. Among them, current forecast and forecast within 2 hours, the input data are real-time data of observation stations (such as vertical survey stations) in the region, and the established ionospheric assimilation model is used to complete the current forecast and forecast within 2 hours in advance; the forecast of 2h-24h in advance, the input data is regional For the historical data of the first 30 days of the internal observation stations, first use the single-station empirical ionospheric short-term forecast method to complete the 24h forecast for each observation station, ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a high-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting method which comprises the following steps: step 1, performing three-dimensional mesh generation on a selected regionaccording to longitude, latitude and height, with the longitude stepping by 2 degrees, the latitude stepping by 2 degrees and the height stepping by 20 km; step 2, establishing an ionospheric regionassimilation model; step 3, establishing an ionospheric single-station short-term forecasting method by adopting a comprehensive model of ionospheric parameter short-term forecasting; and step 4, establishing an ionospheric region immediate reporting and forecasting method in advance of 2 hours: adopting an ionospheric region assimilation forecasting technology based on Kalman filtering to realizeionospheric region immediate reporting and forecasting in advance of 2 hours. According to the high-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting method disclosed by the invention, the ionospheric region data assimilation model is combined with a single-station short-term forecasting technology, so that the short-term forecasting capability of data assimilation is improved, a high-precisionlarge-region forecasting function of ionospheric parameters is realized, and the technical problem is solved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of ionosphere research and application, in particular to a high-precision ionosphere region short-term forecasting method in the field. Background technique [0002] At present, the single-station short-term forecasting technology of ionospheric parameters has been well developed and has high forecasting accuracy, but there are still relatively few research results related to the regional short-term forecasting technology of ionospheric parameters, and the forecasting accuracy is also poor. Contents of the invention [0003] The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a high-precision ionospheric regional short-term forecasting method that combines an ionospheric regional assimilation model with an empirical short-term forecasting method. [0004] The present invention adopts following technical scheme: [0005] A high-precision ionospheric region short-term forecasting method, which i...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F30/20G06F17/16
CPCG06F17/16Y02A90/10
Inventor 冯静齐东玉蔚娜李雪娄鹏华彩成鲁转侠
Owner 中国电波传播研究所
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