Environmental quality prediction method based on social economic data

Abstract

The invention provides an environment quality prediction method based on social economic data, which establishes a quantitative coupling relation between economy and environment by introducing economic data with higher timeliness and more predictable trend. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, predicting the trend of economic data to obtain a next-period economic data predicted value; then, calculating a prediction result according to a certain pollutant emission coefficient, and superposing a policy factor on the basis to obtain a pollutant emission prediction value; and finally, calculating a corresponding environment quality predicted value through the pollutant emission predicted value. According to the method, the problems of poor data timeliness and insufficient prediction accuracy of an existing environment quality prediction method can be solved, the timeliness and prediction accuracy of environment quality prediction data are improved, and the ability and the level of an ecological environment department participating in macroscopic decision making are improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of environmental quality prediction, in particular to an environmental quality prediction method based on socioeconomic data. Background technique [0002] Environmental quality prediction refers to the activity of predicting the impact of social and economic activities on environmental quality changes, and is the basis of environmental decision-making and management. Through environmental quality prediction, it is possible to discover environmental pollution trends and emerging problems in advance, and propose targeted solutions or policy suggestions from the perspective of ecological environmental protection, provide technical support for environmental management decisions, and effectively promote high-level protection of the ecological environment. high-quality economic development. [0003] 201811327592.2 Provides a calculation method for calculating the pollutant discharge surface concentration in the area to be...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0007] The purpose of the present invention is to address the deficiencies of the prior art, provide an environmental quality prediction method based on social and economic data, solve the problems of poor data timeliness and insufficient prediction accuracy in existing environmental quality prediction methods, and improve the timeliness of environmental quality prediction data and prediction accuracy, and improve the ability and level of eco-environmental departments to participate in macro decision-making

Images