Missile storage safety evaluation method and safety dynamic evaluation model

Abstract

The invention provides a missile storage safety evaluation method and a safety dynamic evaluation model. The evaluation method comprises steps of establishing missile storage process using models; determining analysis parameters of all models; identifying risk analysis projects according to the parameters of all models; for all risk analysis projects, establishing safety control modules in the missile storing process; establishing a safety evaluation module; performing safety simulation on the safety evaluation module to gain accident cause factors; and modifying safety control measures. Dynamic comprehensive evaluation is performed on safety of the missile storing process, and evaluation results contain risk factors possibly existing in the missile storing process, effects on the risks and change trends of the comprehensive risk level in a quite long storing period, so safety instructions are given to possible risks in the missile storing process.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of missile storage, in particular to a missile storage safety evaluation method and a safety dynamic evaluation model. Background technique [0002] Missile products are complex in structure and dense in dangerous substances and energy. During the long-term storage process, they need to go through the process of testing, maintenance, transportation, and reloading repeatedly. The proportion of personnel operations is large, and the environment changes frequently. , increasing the safety hazards and accident risks in the process of missile storage and use. [0003] After the missile is finalized and delivered for use, due to the needs of training exercises and other tasks, specific operations must be carried out on the product under specified conditions, that is, during the storage period, the missile needs to repeatedly undergo transportation, reloading, hoisting, testing, maintenance, loading and other activities. pr...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] Second, the traditional static evaluation method has certain limitations in analyzing the long-term changes in the safety level of the missile storage and use process. Risk factors, explore and quantify the changes of various factors in the process of interactive coupling and the influence relationship between factors, model and simulate to predict the change trend of safety, and grasp the ability to affect the safety level in different periods of system development Key factors to effectively support the development of improvement measures to control the safety risks of process activities in a timely manner

However, in the existing process of missile storage and use, there is no systematic analysis of the possible dangers in the process of missile storage and use, and to determine the causative factors of the danger, so as to determine the method of eliminating the danger and ensure the safety of missiles in the process of storage and use. Safety

However, the traditional analysis method has obvious limitations when dealing with the danger caused by the interaction of system elements, in other words, it cannot solve the possible security problems in missile storage

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