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Prediction Method of Regional Crowd Movement State Based on Micro-Macro Transformation Model

A technology for converting models and motion states, applied in prediction, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as model complexity dependence, lack of individual panic measurement, macro crowd evacuation pressure item quantitative influence relationship, and inaccurate conversion results, etc.

Active Publication Date: 2021-06-04
TONGJI UNIV
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

Specifically, the macro model focuses on considering the crowd as a whole, and can usually be used to simulate large-scale crowd movements in real time while ignoring individual behavior; the micro model models from the perspective of the individual, focusing on individual behavior and its identity. The reproduction of the known process, but the model complexity depends heavily on the number of individuals in the scene
[0004] So far, for the regional crowd movement state prediction method based on the micro-macro conversion model, there are still shortcomings such as the lack of individual panic measurement and its quantitative influence on the macro-crowd evacuation pressure item, and the conversion results are not accurate enough.

Method used

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  • Prediction Method of Regional Crowd Movement State Based on Micro-Macro Transformation Model
  • Prediction Method of Regional Crowd Movement State Based on Micro-Macro Transformation Model
  • Prediction Method of Regional Crowd Movement State Based on Micro-Macro Transformation Model

Examples

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Embodiment

[0096] Using the T-junction crowd evacuation dynamics model to study the Mecca stampede event in 2015, the stampede event at the T-shaped intersection between 204 Street and 223 Street (204-223 junction) was reproduced through simulation. location such as image 3 shown. At 0600 hours (09:09 GMT) in 2015, the stampede occurred at the T-junction of 204th Street and 223rd Street. Initially, the crowd was mainly distributed in Street 204, and moved forward in turn to perform the Hajj. The bus on the 223 street took a group of passengers. When this group of people entered the intersection of the 223 and 204 streets, the crowds in the two directions collided, and the collision caused the crowd to fall and stampede. However, the crowd behind did not understand the front The congestion, which continued to advance, led to a widespread stampede among the pilgrims.

[0097] According to the actual parameters of the stampede at the intersection of 204th Street and 223rd Street, 2000 e...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a method for predicting the movement state of regional crowds based on a micro-macro conversion model, the method comprising the following steps: 1) establishing a micro-macro conversion model for realizing the conversion of micro panic to macro pressure term; 2) acquiring crowd flow video information parameters; 3) based on the micro-macro conversion model and the crowd flow video information parameters, predict the movement state of the regional crowd, and display the prediction result. Compared with the prior art, the present invention constructs a micro-macro conversion model, which makes up for the deficiency of the crowd evacuation modeling method to a certain extent, and provides a new idea for studying the crowd evacuation problem.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of crowd evacuation simulation, in particular to a method for predicting the motion state of crowds in a region based on a micro-macro conversion model. Background technique [0002] In recent years, with the frequent occurrence of various fire accidents and emergencies, more and more attention has been paid to the safe evacuation simulation of emergencies in public places where crowds gather. Simulating the crowd evacuation behavior in the real scene has important social significance. It can help the emergency department to formulate corresponding emergency plans, guide the design of the scene, avoid disasters, and reduce casualties. Using computer simulation technology for scene modeling, path optimization, and crowd movement behavior modeling can minimize the cost while achieving the best evacuation drill effect. Therefore, computer simulation has become the most important method to study crowd evacuatio...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F30/20G06Q10/04G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/265G06F30/20
Inventor 赵荣泳董大亨胡钱珊李翠玲汪栋
Owner TONGJI UNIV
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