Transaction electricity price prediction method and device

A forecasting method and forecasting algorithm technology, applied in the field of electricity, to achieve the effect of forecasting the range of transaction electricity prices

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-05-04
北京恒华龙信数据科技有限公司
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[0005] In view of this, the present invention provides a transaction electricity price prediction method ...

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  • Transaction electricity price prediction method and device
  • Transaction electricity price prediction method and device
  • Transaction electricity price prediction method and device

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[0047] The following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some, not all, embodiments of the present invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts belong to the protection scope of the present invention.

[0048] The subjects participating in the transaction center bidding include power generation enterprises, power purchase entities, and transaction centers, and they play different roles in the transaction center bidding. In layman's terms, we can think of them as buyers (power purchase entities), sellers (power generation companies) and regulators (trading centers). In the electricity bidding process, the buyer and the seller first declare the required electri...

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Abstract

The invention provides a transaction electricity price prediction method and device. The method includes: acquiring transaction data; according to transaction data and a preset prediction algorithm, calculating a declaration electricity price predicted value, a minimum transaction declaration electricity price predicted value, a maximum transaction declaration electricity price predicted value anda monthly average transaction electricity price predicted value; generating a plurality of transaction electricity price ranges under conditions that the minimum transaction declaration electricity price predicted value is smaller than the monthly average transaction electricity price predicted value, the monthly average transaction electricity price predicted value is smaller than the declaration electricity price predicted value, and the declaration electricity price predicted value is smaller than the maximum transaction declaration electricity price predicted value. On the basis of the method, transaction electricity price ranges can be predicted on the basis of transaction data, so that influences of personal subjective thoughts are avoided, and the scientific and effective prediction of the transaction electricity price ranges can be realized.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the field of electric power technology, and more specifically, to a transaction electricity price prediction method and device. Background technique [0002] With the opening of domestic electricity market policies, electricity bidding transactions in various provinces have been carried out one after another. How to purchase electricity with low risk and high return in the electricity bidding transaction is one of the most concerned issues for power companies. [0003] At present, the electricity purchasing entity, usually the power company, mainly uses its own experience and past electricity purchasing data to estimate one or more trading electricity price ranges to participate in electricity bidding transactions. However, this artificial estimation method is easily influenced by one's own experience and lacks scientific nature. [0004] Therefore, how to scientifically and effectively predict the trading electricity...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q30/06G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q30/0611G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
Inventor 陈少坤田明伟
Owner 北京恒华龙信数据科技有限公司
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