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Short-impending forecast method of solar energy resources based on satellite radiation products

A solar energy resource and solar energy technology, applied in the field of solar resource forecasting, can solve problems such as intermittent and fluctuating photovoltaic power generation

Active Publication Date: 2021-08-24
中国气象局公共气象服务中心
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Problems solved by technology

Surface solar irradiance is the most direct climatic factor affecting the power of photovoltaic power generation. However, surface solar irradiance changes periodically and randomly with seasons and weather. Therefore, photovoltaic power generation has obvious intermittent and fluctuations.

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  • Short-impending forecast method of solar energy resources based on satellite radiation products

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Embodiment Construction

[0041] Specific embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described here are only used to illustrate and explain the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention.

[0042] As a first aspect of the present invention, a method for short-impending forecasting of solar energy resources based on satellite radiation products is provided, wherein, as figure 1 As shown, the short-impending forecasting method for solar energy resources includes the following steps carried out periodically:

[0043] In step S110, the historical solar radiation data corresponding to the current period is obtained, wherein the collection end time of the historical solar radiation data corresponding to the current period is continuous with the start time of the forecast period of the current period, when the forecast of the current period When the star...

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Abstract

The present invention provides a method for short-impending forecasting of solar energy resources based on satellite radiation products, including: acquiring historical solar radiation data corresponding to the current cycle; establishing a solar radiation value forecast based on a mean-generation function according to the historical solar radiation data corresponding to the current cycle model; output the initial solar radiation forecast value in the forecast period of the current period according to the forecast model; from the second period, the short-impending forecast method of solar energy resources also includes: using the forecast period corresponding to the previous period The ground-observed solar radiation value in is corrected for the initial solar radiation forecast value in the forecast period of the current cycle to obtain the final solar radiation forecast value in the forecast period of the current cycle.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the field of solar resource forecasting, in particular to a short-impending solar resource forecasting method based on satellite radiation products, a computer-readable storage medium and an electronic device. Background technique [0002] In recent years, with the increasingly prominent environmental and energy issues, photovoltaic power generation, as a new energy source, has developed particularly rapidly. Surface solar irradiance is the most direct climatic factor affecting the power of photovoltaic power generation. However, surface solar irradiance changes periodically and randomly with seasons and weather. Therefore, photovoltaic power generation has obvious intermittent and fluctuations. [0003] Therefore, how to accurately forecast solar radiation has become an urgent technical problem in this field. Contents of the invention [0004] The object of the present invention is to provide a method for short-impe...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F30/20G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06F30/20
Inventor 申彦波叶冬姚锦烽常蕊乌日柴胡胡玥明李利秋
Owner 中国气象局公共气象服务中心
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